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Liquidity Shocks, Price Volatilities, and Risk-managed Strategy: Evidence from Bitcoin and Beyond

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  • Tang, Tao
  • Wang, Yanchen

Abstract

This study examines the prediction power of market liquidity (the ease with which asset are traded) and funding liquidity (the ease with which traders can obtain funding) on the price volatilities of Bitcoin. We find that both market and funding liquidity shocks forecast future volatility. More importantly, liquidity shocks have a stronger and persistent effect on the long-term trend component of volatility. Exploiting the predictability of liquidity shocks, we propose a risk-managed strategy to manage extremely high volatility and avoid occasional large crashes in cryptocurrency markets. This novel strategy virtually eliminates crashes and improves the Sharpe ratio substantially against the benchmark buy-and-hold strategy. The outperformance is much stronger during the turbulent periods of cryptocurrencies. Hence, this paper provides important insights into cryptocurrency investment and portfolio management combining traditional assets and cryptocurrencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Tao & Wang, Yanchen, 2022. "Liquidity Shocks, Price Volatilities, and Risk-managed Strategy: Evidence from Bitcoin and Beyond," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:64:y:2022:i:c:s1042444x22000019
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2022.100729
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Liquidity shocks; Price volatilities; Risk-managed trading strategy; Cryptocurrencies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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