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Hedging exchange rate risk in the gold market: A panel data analysis

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  • Wang, Kuan-Min
  • Lee, Yuan-Ming

Abstract

This study examines whether gold is used to hedge against exchange rate risks globally or exhibits different properties in the major gold-producing, gold-consuming, and key currency countries. We apply panel data from January 1999 to March 2015 to test whether the effectiveness of gold in this regard differs for these three groups of countries. Our dynamic panel threshold model results show that exchange rate fluctuations result in threshold effects and influence the hedging effectiveness of gold. Additionally, we use weekly, monthly, and quarterly data to analyze the time horizon of the hedging properties of gold. Our findings reveal that except for the results for the quarterly data, the weekly and monthly data results show that the hedge effects in the major gold-consuming countries are greater than those in the major gold-producing countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Kuan-Min & Lee, Yuan-Ming, 2016. "Hedging exchange rate risk in the gold market: A panel data analysis," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-23.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:35:y:2016:i:c:p:1-23
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2016.02.001
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Oduyemi, Gabriel O., 2021. "How COVID-19 upturns the hedging potentials of gold against oil and stock markets risks: Nonlinear evidences through threshold regression and markov-regime switching models," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    2. Ernest Owusu Boakye & Kari Heimonen & Juha Junttila, 2024. "Commodity markets and the global macroeconomy: evidence from machine learning and GVAR," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(5), pages 1919-1965, November.
    3. Sui, Meng & Rengifo, Erick W. & Court, Eduardo, 2021. "Gold, inflation and exchange rate in dollarized economies – A comparative study of Turkey, Peru and the United States," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 82-99.
    4. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Naveed Raza & David Roubaud & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Stelios Bekiros, 2019. "Gold as Safe Haven for G-7 Stocks and Bonds: A Revisit," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 885-912, December.
    5. Salisu, Afees A. & Adediran, Idris, 2020. "Gold as a hedge against oil shocks: Evidence from new datasets for oil shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Wang, Kuan-Min & Lee, Yuan-Ming, 2022. "Is gold a safe haven for exchange rate risks? An empirical study of major currency countries," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Raza, Naveed & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ali, Azwadi, 2017. "Dependence of stock markets with gold and bonds under bullish and bearish market states," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 308-319.
    8. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Kosedag, Arman & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "Is the price of gold to gold mining stocks asymmetric?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 402-407.
    9. Azimli, Asil, 2024. "Is gold a safe haven for the U.S. dollar during extreme conditions?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    10. Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. K. Abhaya Kumar & Prakash Pinto & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & K. G. Ramesh, 2021. "Can Crude Oil Futures be the Good Hedging Tool for Tyre Equities? Evidence from India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 523-537.
    12. Kuan-Min Wang & Thanh-Binh Nguyen Thi & Yuan-Ming Lee, 2021. "Is gold a safe haven for the dynamic risk of foreign exchange?," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A., 2020. "The hedging effectiveness of industrial metals against different oil shocks: Evidence from the four newly developed oil shocks datasets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asymmetries of exchange rate fluctuations; Gold exchange rate hedge; Dynamic panel threshold model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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