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The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock

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  • Teles, Pedro
  • Tristani, Oreste

Abstract

Motivated by the surge in debt levels through the pandemic crisis, we revisit the issue of the optimal financing of public debt. In contrast to existing results, we find that the optimal response of inflation to a large increase in public spending is a gradual, significant and long-lasting rise in inflation. Our conclusion is due to a different assumption on the source of nominal rigidities. While the literature has focused on sticky prices, of either the Calvo (1983) or Rotemberg (1982) type, we consider sticky plans as in the sticky information set up of Mankiw and Reis (2002). A crucial feature of our results is that a significant inflation response is desirable if the maturity of public debt is (realistically) long.

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  • Teles, Pedro & Tristani, Oreste, 2024. "The monetary financing of a large fiscal shock," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(S).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:moneco:v:147:y:2024:i:s:s0304393224000837
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103630
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pandemic; Fiscal shocks; Inflation; Monetary and fiscal policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • H21 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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