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Linear rational-expectations models with lagged expectations: A synthetic method

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  • Meyer-Gohde, Alexander

Abstract

This paper contains a solution and an estimation method for linear rational-expectations models with lagged expectations. The solution method is a synthetic approach, combining state-space and infinite-MA representations with a simple system of linear equations. The advantage lies in the particular combination of methods from the literature, providing faster execution, more general applicability, and more straightforward usage than existing algorithms. Bayesian estimation methods are employed without the Kalman filter using a recursive algorithm to evaluate the likelihood function and are used to compare small-scale sticky-information and sticky-price DSGE models. Standard truncation methods are shown to not generally be innocuous.

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  • Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2010. "Linear rational-expectations models with lagged expectations: A synthetic method," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 984-1002, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:5:p:984-1002
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    Cited by:

    1. Jan-Oliver Menz & Lena Vogel, 2009. "A Detailed Derivation of the Sticky Price and Sticky Information New Keynesian DSGE Model," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 200902, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    2. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2013_005 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Fabio Verona & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(3), pages 357-370, March.
    4. Alexander Meyer-Gohde & Daniel Neuhoff, 2015. "Generalized Exogenous Processes in DSGE: A Bayesian Approach," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-014, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.
    5. Chou, Jenyu & Easaw, Joshy & Minford, Patrick, 2023. "Does inattentiveness matter for DSGE modeling? An empirical investigation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    6. Sorge Marco M., 2020. "Computing sunspot solutions to rational expectations models with timing restrictions," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 1-10, June.
    7. Fabio Verona & Maik Wolters, 2014. "Sticky Information Models in Dynare," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 43(3), pages 357-370, March.
    8. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Neuhoff, Daniel, 2015. "Solving and estimating linearized DSGE models with VARMA shock processes and filtered data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 89-91.
    9. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2024. "Solving and analyzing DSGE models in the frequency domain," IMFS Working Paper Series 207, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    10. Mehmet Fatih, Ekinci, 2010. "Inattentive Consumers and Exchange Rate Volatility," MPRA Paper 26472, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 31 Oct 2010.
    11. Ekinci, Mehmet Fatih, 2017. "Inattentive consumers and international business cycles," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1-27.
    12. Lena Dräger, 2011. "Endogenous Persistence with Recursive Inattentiveness," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201103, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    13. Hess Chung & Edward Herbst & Michael T. Kiley, 2015. "Effective Monetary Policy Strategies in New Keynesian Models: A Reexamination," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 29(1), pages 289-344.
    14. Carrillo, Julio A., 2012. "How well does sticky information explain the dynamics of inflation, output, and real wages?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 830-850.
    15. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2011. "Sticky information and determinacy," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-006, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    16. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2011-006 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Adrien Auclert & Bence Bardóczy & Matthew Rognlie & Ludwig Straub, 2021. "Using the Sequence‐Space Jacobian to Solve and Estimate Heterogeneous‐Agent Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(5), pages 2375-2408, September.
    18. Meyer-Gohde, Alexander & Tzaawa-Krenzler, Mary, 2023. "Sticky information and the Taylor principle," IMFS Working Paper Series 189, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    19. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2011. "Solving DSGE models with a nonlinear moving average," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2011-087, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    20. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2011-087 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Lena Dräger, 2010. "Why don't people pay attention? Endogenous Sticky Information in a DSGE Model," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201002, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    22. Tomiyuki Kitamura & Tamon Takamura, 2016. "Output Comovement and Inflation Dynamics in a Two-Sector Model with Durable Goods: The Role of Sticky Information and Heterogeneous Factor Markets," Staff Working Papers 16-36, Bank of Canada.
    23. Lena Draeger, 2010. "Why Don't People Pay Attention?," KOF Working papers 10-260, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    24. Lan, Hong & Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2013. "Solving DSGE models with a nonlinear moving average," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2643-2667.

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