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Application of system dynamics and fuzzy logic to forecasting of municipal solid waste

Author

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  • Karavezyris, Vassilios
  • Timpe, Klaus-Peter
  • Marzi, Ruth

Abstract

In this paper a model of waste management systems is presented that is based on system dynamics. Expert knowledge on influences and parameter estimations may seriously vary and thus lead to different simulation results. Linguistic variables are one possible way to deal with the problem of experts describing influences in a qualitative way and the need for quantitative data as a basis for simulation. Applying fuzzy logic may enhance confidence in the validity of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Karavezyris, Vassilios & Timpe, Klaus-Peter & Marzi, Ruth, 2002. "Application of system dynamics and fuzzy logic to forecasting of municipal solid waste," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 149-158.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:60:y:2002:i:3:p:149-158
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    Cited by:

    1. Dace, Elina & Bazbauers, Gatis & Berzina, Alise & Davidsen, Pål I., 2014. "System dynamics model for analyzing effects of eco-design policy on packaging waste management system," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 175-190.
    2. Guojiao Chen & Cuiyou Yao & Lurong Fan & Linze Li & Haiqing Cao, 2022. "Sustainability-oriented system dynamics method for coordinated megacity ecosystem development: the case of Beijing, China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(9), pages 11027-11057, September.
    3. Laurie Fontaine & Robert Legros & Jean-Marc Frayret, 2024. "Sustainability and Environmental Performance in Selective Collection of Residual Materials: Impact of Modulating Citizen Participation Through Policy and Incentive Implementation," Resources, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-27, October.
    4. Wang Xiao-jun & Zhang Jian-yun & Shahid Shamsuddin & He Rui-min & Xia Xing-hui & Mou Xin-li, 2015. "Potential impact of climate change on future water demand in Yulin city, Northwest China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-19, January.
    5. Xu, Lulin & Li, Zhongwu, 2024. "The impact of “Internet plus” enterprises on municipal solid waste classification and social welfare: An example from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    6. Dipsikha Dasgupta & Anupam Debsarkar & Tumpa Hazra & B. K. Bala & Amitava Gangopadhyay & Debasish Chatterjee, 2017. "Scenario of future e-waste generation and recycle-reuse-landfill-based disposal pattern in India: a system dynamics approach," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1473-1487, August.
    7. Talyan, Vikash & Dahiya, R.P. & Anand, S. & Sreekrishnan, T.R., 2007. "Quantification of methane emission from municipal solid waste disposal in Delhi," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 240-259.
    8. Jiang, P. & Liu, X., 2016. "Hidden Markov model for municipal waste generation forecasting under uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(2), pages 639-651.
    9. Meylan, Grégoire & Seidl, Roman & Spoerri, Andy, 2013. "Transitions of municipal solid waste management. Part I: Scenarios of Swiss waste glass-packaging disposal," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 8-19.
    10. Ojeda-Benítez, Sara & Vega, Carolina Armijo-de & Marquez-Montenegro, Ma Ysabel, 2008. "Household solid waste characterization by family socioeconomic profile as unit of analysis," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 992-999.
    11. Florian Kapmeier & Paulo Gonçalves, 2018. "Wasted paradise? Policies for Small Island States to manage tourism‐driven growth while controlling waste generation: the case of the Maldives," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 34(1-2), pages 172-221, January.
    12. Cheng, Yung-Hsiang & Chang, Yu-Hern & Lu, I.J., 2015. "Urban transportation energy and carbon dioxide emission reduction strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 953-973.
    13. Xiao-jun Wang & Jian-yun Zhang & Jiu-fu Liu & Guo-qing Wang & Rui-min He & Amgad Elmahdi & Sondoss Elsawah, 2011. "Water resources planning and management based on system dynamics: a case study of Yulin city," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 331-351, April.
    14. Parvin Berenjkar & Yu Yan Li & Qiuyan Yuan, 2021. "The application of system dynamics in different practices of a waste management system," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 15695-15724, November.
    15. Micky A. Babalola, 2019. "A System Dynamics-Based Approach to Help Understand the Role of Food and Biodegradable Waste Management in Respect of Municipal Waste Management Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-20, June.
    16. Duan, Wenqi & Khurshid, Adnan & Nazir, Naila & Khan, Khalid & Calin, Adrian Cantemir, 2022. "From gray to green: Energy crises and the role of CPEC," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 188-207.
    17. Zhao, W. & Ren, H. & Rotter, V.S., 2011. "A system dynamics model for evaluating the alternative of type in construction and demolition waste recycling center – The case of Chongqing, China," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 55(11), pages 933-944.
    18. Kottath, Rahul & Singh, Priyanka, 2023. "Influencer buddy optimization: Algorithm and its application to electricity load and price forecasting problem," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PC).
    19. Wang Xiao-jun & Zhang Jian-yun & Wang Jian-hua & He Rui-min & Amgad ElMahdi & Liu Jin-hua & Wang Xin-gong & David King & Shamsuddin Shahid, 2014. "Climate change and water resources management in Tuwei river basin of Northwest China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 107-120, January.
    20. Lu, Yujie & Chang, Ruidong & Lim, Suxann, 2018. "Crowdfunding for solar photovoltaics development: A review and forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 439-450.
    21. Arunava Majumder & Kailash Pradhan & Satwinder Singh Danewalia & Bimal Kumar Sett, 2020. "A review and modelling on the critical management of the disaster debris of earthquake in Bhutan," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(3), pages 477-491, June.

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