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Quantitative evaluation of nation stability

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  • Tsuneyoshi, Takao
  • Hashimoto, Akihiro
  • Haneda, Shoko

Abstract

This paper quantitatively evaluates nation stability, defined as the state of a country's social and economic system as measured by multiple evaluation indicators, and observes its transitions. Data Envelopment Analysis/Malmquist Index (DEA/MI) methodology is applied to the panel data for 97 countries for the period 1981–2004, although the DEA application is totally different from the DEA efficiency/productivity analysis. This analysis includes a “unified” country (Germany) and “split” countries (former Soviet Union, Czechoslovakia, and Yugoslavia). Using the novel panel-data handling proposed in this study, we demonstrate shifts in stability before/after the unification or split. The stability of split countries fell by 50% or more, showing that they were extremely unstable before the split. The use of lower-bound DEA together with ordinary DEA enables a country's stability to be evaluated in terms of both negative and positive aspects.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsuneyoshi, Takao & Hashimoto, Akihiro & Haneda, Shoko, 2012. "Quantitative evaluation of nation stability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 132-154.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:34:y:2012:i:1:p:132-154
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2011.06.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nayak, Purusottam & Mishra, SK, 2012. "Efficiency of Pena’s P2 Distance in Construction of Human Development Indices," MPRA Paper 39022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Rogge, Nicky, 2019. "EU countries’ progress towards ‘Europe 2020 strategy targets’," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 255-272.
    3. Gupta, Maansi & Bolia, Nomesh B., 2020. "Efficiency measurement of Indian high courts using DEA: A policy perspective," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 1372-1393.
    4. Ehrke, Jürgen, 2012. "How to assist separatists in breaking up a country... or, rather, not: The role of decentralization and development assistance," MPRA Paper 44045, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Shoko Haneda & Akihiro Hashimoto & Takao Tsuneyoshi, 2012. "Evaluating Administrative Efficiency Change in the Post-Merger Period," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 35(2), pages 237-262, April.
    6. Farvaque, Etienne & Foucault, Martial & Vigeant, Stéphane, 2020. "The politician and the vote factory: Candidates’ resource management skills and electoral returns," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 38-55.
    7. Hepp, Andreas & Lingenberg, Swantje & Elsler, Monika & Möller, Johanna & Mollen, Anne & Offerhaus, Anke, 2013. ""I just hope the whole thing won't collapse": "understanding" and "overcoming" the EU financial crisis from the citizens' perspective," TranState Working Papers 168, University of Bremen, Collaborative Research Center 597: Transformations of the State.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nation stability; Data envelopment analysis; Malmquist index; Merger; Split; Unified country; Split country;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • Z00 - Other Special Topics - - General - - - General

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