IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jomega/v19y1991i5p459-469.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Scenario construction for urban planning

Author

Listed:
  • Khakee, A.

Abstract

There exists a substantial amount of literature on visionary urban futures. These scenarios over the urban futures have been interesting attempts to inform professional planners and futurologists as to the rich variety of alternative physical-spatial developments ahead. They have, however, been based on the prospect of large-scale urban growth and are not relevant for the slow or no growth conditions which characterize many cities and towns in Sweden and in other Western countries. The paper presents one method for constructing alternative urban scenarios under economic and political uncertainty. The method has been applied by the urban government in Västerås, Sweden. The paper is divided into six sections. The introductory section includes a very brief discussion of urban visions and their relevance for current urban planning problems. The second section contains a brief review of the Swedish urban planning system. In the third section the author discusses some conceptual and methodological issues in constructing scenarios. The fourth section contains the Västerås method for constructing scenarios which requires the participation of decision-makers and planners in order to ensure the implementation of development strategies outlined in the scenarios. The fifth section discusses the use of scenarios in urban planning in Västerås. A discussion of the operational and methodological problems and suggestions of key issues for further research are put forward in the concluding section.

Suggested Citation

  • Khakee, A., 1991. "Scenario construction for urban planning," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 459-469.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:19:y:1991:i:5:p:459-469
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0305-0483(91)90062-X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Thomas J. Chermack, 2019. "Response to Spaniol and Rowland: “Defining Scenario”," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(2), June.
    2. Matthew J. Spaniol & Nicholas J. Rowland, 2019. "Defining scenario," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(1), March.
    3. Matthew J. Spaniol & Nicholas J. Rowland, 2023. "AI‐assisted scenario generation for strategic planning," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(2), June.
    4. Kim, Karl & Burnett, Kimberly & Ghimire, Jiwnath, 2015. "Assessing the potential for food and energy self-sufficiency on the island of Kauai, Hawaii," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 44-51.
    5. Muhammad Qadeer ul Hussnain & Abdul Waheed & Khydija Wakil & Christopher James Pettit & Ejaz Hussain & Malik Asghar Naeem & Ghulam Abbas Anjum, 2020. "Shaping up the Future Spatial Plans for Urban Areas in Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
    6. Maycon Sedrez & Ali Cheshmehzangi & Linjun Xie & Yimeng Wang, 2024. "Scenarios in an Urban Planning Studio: The Perception of Multidisciplinary Students," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-21, June.
    7. Torrieri, F. & Nijkamp, P., 2009. "Scenario analysis in spatial impact assessment:a methodological approach," Serie Research Memoranda 0026, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    8. Metz, Ashley & Hartley, Paul, 2020. "Scenario development as valuation: Opportunities for reflexivity," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    9. Sajida Perveen & Md. Kamruzzaman & Tan Yigitcanlar, 2017. "Developing Policy Scenarios for Sustainable Urban Growth Management: A Delphi Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-27, October.
    10. Nicholas J. Rowland & Matthew J. Spaniol, 2020. "Intensifying intellectual traffic between history and futures studies: A commentary on Schoemaker 2020," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2(3-4), September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jomega:v:19:y:1991:i:5:p:459-469. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/375/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.