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Calibration of probability assessments by professional blackjack dealers, statistical experts, and lay people

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  • Wagenaar, Willem A.
  • Keren, Gideon B.

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  • Wagenaar, Willem A. & Keren, Gideon B., 1985. "Calibration of probability assessments by professional blackjack dealers, statistical experts, and lay people," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 406-416, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jobhdp:v:36:y:1985:i:3:p:406-416
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    Cited by:

    1. Fischer, Ilan & Budescu, David V., 2005. "When do those who know more also know more about how much they know? The development of confidence and performance in categorical decision tasks," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 39-53, September.
    2. Ilan Fischer & Ravid Bogaire, 2012. "The Group Calibration Index: a group-based approach for assessing forecasters’ expertise when external outcome data are missing," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 73(4), pages 671-685, October.
    3. Dušana Dokupilová & Vladimíra Kurincová Čavojová & Vladimír Baláž & Eva Ballová Mikušková & Dagmar Gombitová, 2021. "Smart advice for better governance: applying expert methods to high-stakes decisions," DECISION: Official Journal of the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Springer;Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, vol. 48(3), pages 285-293, September.
    4. Lawrence, Michael & Goodwin, Paul & O'Connor, Marcus & Onkal, Dilek, 2006. "Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 493-518.

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