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An approximate maximum likelihood estimation for non-Gaussian non-minimum phase moving average processes

Author

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  • Lii, Keh-Shin
  • Rosenblatt, Murray

Abstract

An approximate maximum likelihood procedure is proposed for the estimation of parameters in possibly nonminimum phase (noninvertible) moving average processes driven by independent and identically distributed non-Gaussian noise. Under appropriate conditions, parameter estimates that are solutions of likelihood-like equations are consistent and are asymptotically normal. A simulation study for MA(2) processes illustrates the estimation procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Lii, Keh-Shin & Rosenblatt, Murray, 1992. "An approximate maximum likelihood estimation for non-Gaussian non-minimum phase moving average processes," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 272-299, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:43:y:1992:i:2:p:272-299
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bernd Funovits, 2020. "Identifiability and Estimation of Possibly Non-Invertible SVARMA Models: A New Parametrisation," Papers 2002.04346, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    2. João Henrique Gonçalves Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2018. "Uncertainty And Density Forecasts Of Arma Models: Comparison Of Asymptotic, Bayesian, And Bootstrap Procedures," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 388-419, April.
    3. Weifeng Jin, 2023. "Quantile Autoregression-based Non-causality Testing," Papers 2301.02937, arXiv.org.
    4. Rongning Wu, 2013. "M-estimation for general ARMA Processes with Infinite Variance," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 40(3), pages 571-591, September.
    5. Rongning Wu & Richard A. Davis, 2010. "Least absolute deviation estimation for general autoregressive moving average time‐series models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 98-112, March.
    6. Funovits, Bernd, 2024. "Identifiability and estimation of possibly non-invertible SVARMA Models: The normalised canonical WHF parametrisation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 241(2).
    7. Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2023. "Spectral identification and estimation of mixed causal-noncausal invertible-noninvertible models," Papers 2310.19543, arXiv.org.
    8. Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2013. "Maximum likelihood estimation of a noninvertible ARMA model with autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 227-255.
    9. Veiga, Helena, 2015. "Model uncertainty and the forecast accuracy of ARMA models: A survey," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws1508, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    10. Andrews, Beth & Davis, Richard A. & Jay Breidt, F., 2006. "Maximum likelihood estimation for all-pass time series models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(7), pages 1638-1659, August.
    11. Nikolay Gospodinov & Serena Ng, 2015. "Minimum Distance Estimation of Possibly Noninvertible Moving Average Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 403-417, July.
    12. Alain Hecq & Daniel Velasquez-Gaviria, 2022. "Spectral estimation for mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Papers 2211.13830, arXiv.org.
    13. Davis, Richard A. & Mikosch, Thomas, 1998. "Gaussian likelihood-based inference for non-invertible MA(1) processes with SS noise," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 99-122, September.
    14. Jaap Geluk & Liang Peng & Casper G. de Vries, 1999. "Convolutions of Heavy Tailed Random Variables and Applications to Portfolio Diversification and MA(1) Time Series," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 99-088/2, Tinbergen Institute.

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