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Mixtures of skewed Kalman filters

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  • Kim, Hyoung-Moon
  • Ryu, Duchwan
  • Mallick, Bani K.
  • Genton, Marc G.

Abstract

Normal state-space models are prevalent, but to increase the applicability of the Kalman filter, we propose mixtures of skewed, and extended skewed, Kalman filters. To do so, the closed skew-normal distribution is extended to a scale mixture class of closed skew-normal distributions. Some basic properties are derived and a class of closed skew-t distributions is obtained. Our suggested family of distributions is skewed and has heavy tails too, so it is appropriate for robust analysis. Our proposed special sequential Monte Carlo methods use a random mixture of the closed skew-normal distributions to approximate a target distribution. Hence it is possible to handle skewed and heavy tailed data simultaneously. These methods are illustrated with numerical experiments.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Hyoung-Moon & Ryu, Duchwan & Mallick, Bani K. & Genton, Marc G., 2014. "Mixtures of skewed Kalman filters," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 228-251.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:123:y:2014:i:c:p:228-251
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmva.2013.09.002
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    1. Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle & Adelchi Azzalini, 2022. "Some properties of the unified skew-normal distribution," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(2), pages 461-487, April.
    2. Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle & Javier E. Contreras-Reyes & Freddy O. López Quintero & Abel Valdebenito, 2019. "A skew-normal dynamic linear model and Bayesian forecasting," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 34(3), pages 1055-1085, September.

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