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Identifying banking crises using money market pressure: New evidence for a large set of countries

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  • Jing, Zhongbo
  • de Haan, Jakob
  • Jacobs, Jan
  • Yang, Haizhen

Abstract

We construct a money market pressure index based on central bank reserves and the short-term nominal interest rate to identify banking crises, thereby extending the index proposed by Von Hagen and Ho (2007), also in terms of the number of countries covered. We compare the crises identified by both indices with crises according to Laeven and Valencia. Both indices identify more crises than the Laeven–Valencia database. The crises identified by our index are more in line with the Laeven–Valencia crises than those identified by the Von Hagen–Ho index, while our index also gives fewer ‘false’ signals.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing, Zhongbo & de Haan, Jakob & Jacobs, Jan & Yang, Haizhen, 2015. "Identifying banking crises using money market pressure: New evidence for a large set of countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-20.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:43:y:2015:i:c:p:1-20
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmacro.2014.09.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Sana Zidi & Boutheina Regaieg & Nessrine Hamzaoui, 2021. "The Determinants of the European Banking Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 115-122.
    3. Christopher Gandrud & Mark Hallerberg, 2015. "What is a Financial Crisis? Efficiently Measuring Real-Time Perceptions of Financial Market Stress with an Application to Financial Crisis Budget Cycles," CESifo Working Paper Series 5632, CESifo.
    4. Jing, Zhongbo, 2015. "On the relation between currency and banking crises in developing countries, 1980–2010," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 267-291.
    5. Duprey, Thibaut & Klaus, Benjamin & Peltonen, Tuomas, 2017. "Dating systemic financial stress episodes in the EU countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 30-56.
    6. Shijaku, Gerti, 2014. "Fiscal policy, output and financial stress in the case of developing and emerging European economies: a threshold VAR approach," MPRA Paper 79139, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Jon Frost & Hiro Ito & René van Stralen, 2020. "The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows," Working Papers 686, DNB.
    8. Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Castro, Vítor & Wood, Justine, 2022. "A new comprehensive database of financial crises: Identification, frequency, and duration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    9. Vincent BouvatierBy, 2017. "The frequency of banking crises in a dynamic setting: a discrete-time duration approach," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 69(4), pages 1078-1100.
    10. Abildgren, Kim, 2014. "Far out in the tails – The historical distributions of macro-financial risk factors in Denmark," Nationaløkonomisk tidsskrift, Nationaløkonomisk Forening, vol. 2014(1), pages 1-31.
    11. Somnath Chatterjee & Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu & Thibaut Duprey & Sinem Hacıoğlu‐Hoke, 2022. "Systemic Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Amplifications in the United Kingdom," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(2), pages 380-400, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Banking crises; Money market pressure index;

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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