Too good to be true? The (In)credibility of the UK inflation fan charts
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- Carola Conces Binder & Rodrigo Sekkel, 2023. "Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey," Staff Working Papers 23-18, Bank of Canada.
- Carlos DÃaz, 2018.
"Extracting information shocks from the Bank of England inflation density forecasts,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 316-326, April.
- Carlos Diaz Vela, 2016. "Extracting the Information Shocks from the Bank of England Inflation Density Forecasts," Discussion Papers in Economics 16/13, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2019.
"Assessing the uncertainty in central banks’ inflation outlooks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1748-1769.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2018. "Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks," Discussion Papers 56/2018, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Ilhan Kilic & Faruk Balli, 2024. "Measuring economic country-specific uncertainty in Türkiye," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 1649-1689, October.
- Cole, Stephen J., 2018.
"The effectiveness of central bank forward guidance under inflation and price-level targeting,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 146-161.
- Cole, Stephen J., 2016. "The Effectiveness of Central Bank Forward Guidance under Inflation and Price-Level Targeting," Working Papers and Research 2016-06, Marquette University, Center for Global and Economic Studies and Department of Economics.
- Charemza, Wojciech & Díaz, Carlos & Makarova, Svetlana, 2019. "Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 994-1007.
- Tsuchiya, Yoichi, 2022. "Evaluating the European Central Bank’s uncertainty forecasts," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 321-330.
- Reason Lesego Machete, 2011. "Early Warning with Calibrated and Sharper Probabilistic Forecasts," Papers 1112.6390, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2012.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz Vela & Svetlana Makarova, 2013.
"Inflation fan charts, monetary policy and skew normal distribution,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
13/06, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Diaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2014. "Term Structure Of Inflation Forecast Uncertainties And Skew Normal Distributions," Discussion Papers in Economics 14/01, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Wojciech Charemza & Carlos Díaz & Svetlana Makarova, 2015. "Ex-post Inflation Forecast Uncertainty and Skew Normal Distribution: ‘Back from the Future’ Approach," Discussion Papers in Economics 15/09, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Karolina Tura-Gawron, 2016. "Credibility Of Central Banks Inflation Forecasts," GUT FME Working Paper Series A 37, Faculty of Management and Economics, Gdansk University of Technology.
- Tura-Gawron, Karolina, 2019. "Consumers’ approach to the credibility of the inflation forecasts published by central banks: A new methodological solution," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Jorge Fornero & Andrés Gatty, 2020. "Back testing fan charts of activity and inflation: the Chilean case," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 881, Central Bank of Chile.
- Knüppel, Malte & Schultefrankenfeld, Guido, 2008. "How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England's inflation forecasts," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2008,14, Deutsche Bundesbank.
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