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Nowcasting economic activity with mobility data

Author

Listed:
  • Matsumura, Kohei
  • Oh, Yusuke
  • Sugo, Tomohiro
  • Takahashi, Koji

Abstract

We develop high-frequency indices to measure sales in service industries and production in the manufacturing sector using GPS mobility data from mobile applications. First, by utilizing the point of interest data, we develop indicators to capture sales in amusement parks, shopping centers, and food services. Second, we construct indicators for nowcasting production based on the foot traffic in factory areas that are identified by using the Economic Census and mobility patterns. We find that the mobility data allow us to nowcast sales in the service sectors and have the potential to be used to nowcast the production in labor-intensive industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Matsumura, Kohei & Oh, Yusuke & Sugo, Tomohiro & Takahashi, Koji, 2024. "Nowcasting economic activity with mobility data," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:73:y:2024:i:c:s0889158324000236
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2024.101327
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mobility data; Nowcasting; Clustering;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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