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FDI, debt and capital controls

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  • Dell'Erba, Salvatore
  • Reinhardt, Dennis

Abstract

We examine the link between financial sector FDI flows, banking debt flows and capital controls in emerging market economies during episodes of large gross capital inflows – surges. We find that FDI surges in the financial sector behave remarkably similar to surges in banking debt flows: they are associated with boom–bust cycles in GDP and expansions of credit in foreign currency, unlike surges in FDI in the non-financial sectors. Moreover, global and contagion factors have a strong explanatory power in explaining surges in financial FDI and banking debt flows, compared to surges in non-financial sectors. But capital controls have the opposite effect on the two types of flows: restrictions on short-term debt flows tend to decrease the likelihood of surges in banking debt flows but increase the likelihood of surges in financial sector FDI.

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  • Dell'Erba, Salvatore & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2015. "FDI, debt and capital controls," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 29-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:58:y:2015:i:c:p:29-50
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.07.017
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoggarth, Glen & Jung, Carsten & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2016. "Capital inflows — the good, the bad and the bubbly," Bank of England Financial Stability Papers 40, Bank of England.
    2. Das, Mitali & Ordal, Hailey, 2022. "Macroeconomic stability or financial stability: How are capital controls used? Insights from a new database," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Mehmet Pinar & Thanasis Stengos, 2021. "Democracy in the neighborhood and foreign direct investment," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(1), pages 449-477, February.
    4. Zhou, Yang, 2024. "Benefits and costs: The impact of capital control on growth-at-risk in China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Mumtaz Hussain Shah, 2017. "Inward FDI in East Asian & Pacific Developing Countries due to WTO Led Liberalisation," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 9(2), pages 1-20, June.
    6. Noha Emara & Ayah El Said, 2021. "Sovereign ratings, foreign direct investment and contagion in emerging markets: Does being a BRICS country matter?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5217-5234, October.
    7. Wencong Lu & Ikboljon Kasimov & Ibrokhim Karimov & Yakhyobek Abdullaev, 2020. "Foreign Direct Investment, Natural Resources, Economic Freedom, and Sea-Access: Evidence from the Commonwealth of Independent States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.
    8. Valerio Nispi Landi & Alessandro Schiavone, 2021. "The Effectiveness of Capital Controls," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 183-211, February.
    9. Emara, Noha & El Said, Aya, 2019. "Sovereign Ratings, Foreign Direct Investment, and Financial Contagion: The Case of Emerging Markets," MPRA Paper 94504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Broos, Menno & Ghalanos, Michalis & Kennedy, Bernard & Landbeck, Alexander & Lerner, Christina & Menezes, Paula & Schiavone, Alessandro & Tilley, Thomas & Viani, Francesca & Reinhardt, Dennis & Metzem, 2016. "Dealing with large and volatile capital flows and the role of the IMF," Occasional Paper Series 180, European Central Bank.
    11. Yang Zhou, 2022. "The Effects of Capital Controls on Housing Prices," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
    12. Yang Zhou & Shigeto Kitano, 2022. "Effectiveness of Capital Controls: Gates versus Walls," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-38, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University, revised Apr 2023.
    13. Richard J. Nugent, 2019. "Restrictions on Short-Term Capital Inflows and the Response of Direct Investment," Eastern Economic Journal, Palgrave Macmillan;Eastern Economic Association, vol. 45(3), pages 350-383, June.
    14. Marco Albori & Flavia Corneli & Valerio Nispi Landi & Alessandro Schiavone, 2021. "The impact of restrictions on FDI," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 656, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign direct investment; Surges; Banking flows; Capital controls; Emerging market economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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