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Behavioral changes in the housing market before and after the Covid-19 lockdown

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  • Anundsen, André Kallåk
  • Kivedal, Bjørnar Karlsen
  • Røed Larsen, Erling
  • Thorsrud, Leif Anders

Abstract

We exploit unique Norwegian day-by-day transaction and hour-by-hour bidding logs data in order to examine how market participants reacted to the spreading news of Covid-19 in early March 2020, the lockdown on March 12, and the re-opening on April 20. We observe changes on the date of the lockdown in transaction volumes, sell-prediction spreads, exploitative bidding behavior, and seller confidence. However, when we compare observed price developments with our estimated counter-factual price developments, we find that about half of the total fall in prices had already occurred before the lockdown was implemented. The re-opening completely reverses the lockdown effect on prices. We show that voluntary behavioral changes, as well as lockdown and re-opening effects, are visible in various measures of social mobility, and that changes in daily news sentiment correlate with the abnormal price movements during this period.

Suggested Citation

  • Anundsen, André Kallåk & Kivedal, Bjørnar Karlsen & Røed Larsen, Erling & Thorsrud, Leif Anders, 2023. "Behavioral changes in the housing market before and after the Covid-19 lockdown," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:59:y:2023:i:pb:s1051137722000791
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2022.101907
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    Cited by:

    1. Muskan Dugar & Trupti Dandekar Humnekar & V Moovendhan, 2024. "Analyzing Pre- and Post-Pandemic Housing Market Trends in India: A Quasi-Experimental Approach Using ITS and Panel Data Analysis," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 27(3), pages 393-411.
    2. Edward C. H. Tang, 2024. "Examining the Impacts of the Pandemic on the Housing Bubble in Hong Kong," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 28(1), pages 27-46, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Auctions; Bids; Covid-19; Housing market; Lockdown; Policy intervention;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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