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Agreeable bets with multiple priors

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  • Kajii, Atsushi
  • Ui, Takashi

Abstract

This paper considers a two agent model of trade with multiple priors. First, we characterize the existence of an agreeable bet on some event in terms of the set of priors. It is then shown that the existence of an agreeable bet on some event is a strictly stronger condition than the existence of an agreeable trade, whereas the two conditions are equivalent in the standard Bayesian framework. Secondly, we show that the two conditions are equivalent when the set of priors is the core of a convex capacity.
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  • Kajii, Atsushi & Ui, Takashi, 2006. "Agreeable bets with multiple priors," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 299-305, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:128:y:2006:i:1:p:299-305
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    1. Samet, Dov, 1998. "Common Priors and Separation of Convex Sets," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 24(1-2), pages 172-174, July.
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    8. Atsushi Kajii & Takashi Ui, 2004. "Trade with Heterogeneous Multiple Priors," KIER Working Papers 582, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dana, R.A. & Le Van, C., 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 145(6), pages 2186-2202, November.
    2. Zimper, Alexander, 2009. "Half empty, half full and why we can agree to disagree forever," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 283-299, August.
    3. König-Kersting, Christian & Kops, Christopher & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2023. "A test of (weak) certainty independence," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    4. Dominiak, Adam & Eichberger, Jürgen & Lefort, Jean-Philippe, 2012. "Agreeable trade with optimism and pessimism," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 119-126.
    5. Faias, Marta & Torres-Martínez, Juan Pablo, 2017. "Credit market segmentation, essentiality of commodities, and supermodularity," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 115-122.
    6. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2008. "No-arbitrage, overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria in the presence of risk and ambiguity," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne b08039, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Nov 2009.
    7. Patrick Beissner & Frank Riedel, 2019. "Equilibria Under Knightian Price Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 87(1), pages 37-64, January.
    8. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00470670, HAL.
    9. Strzalecki, Tomasz & Werner, Jan, 2011. "Efficient allocations under ambiguity," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1173-1194, May.
    10. Ghirardato, Paolo & Siniscalchi, Marciano, 2018. "Risk sharing in the small and in the large," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 730-765.
    11. Jan Werner, 2021. "Participation in risk sharing under ambiguity," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 90(3), pages 507-519, May.
    12. Mario Ghossoub & Giulio Principi & Ruodu Wang, 2024. "Allocation Mechanisms in Decentralized Exchange Markets with Frictions," Papers 2404.10900, arXiv.org.
    13. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2009. "No-arbitrage, overlapping sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria in the presence of risk and ambiguity," Post-Print halshs-00281582, HAL.
    14. Atsushi Kajii & Takashi Ui, 2004. "Trade with Heterogeneous Multiple Priors," KIER Working Papers 582, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    15. Ahn, David S., 2007. "Hierarchies of ambiguous beliefs," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 286-301, September.
    16. Massari, Filippo & Newton, Jonathan, 2020. "When does ambiguity fade away?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    17. Rose-Anne Dana & Cuong Le Van, 2010. "Overlapping risk adjusted sets of priors and the existence of efficient allocations and equilibria with short-selling," Post-Print halshs-00470670, HAL.
    18. Tian, Dejian & Tian, Weidong, 2014. "Optimal risk-sharing under mutually singular beliefs," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 41-49.
    19. Galanis, Spyros, 2018. "Financial complexity and trade," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 219-230.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C70 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - General
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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