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When does ambiguity fade away?

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Listed:
  • Massari, Filippo
  • Newton, Jonathan

Abstract

the prior support is finite, long-run ambiguity is known to be a possible outcome only if the learning problem is misspecified (Marinacci and Massari, 2019). We show that if the prior support is naturally rich, long-run ambiguity cannot occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Massari, Filippo & Newton, Jonathan, 2020. "When does ambiguity fade away?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:194:y:2020:i:c:s0165176520302512
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.109404
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kalai, Ehud & Lehrer, Ehud, 1994. "Weak and strong merging of opinions," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 73-86, January.
    2. Kajii, Atsushi & Ui, Takashi, 2006. "Agreeable bets with multiple priors," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 299-305, May.
    3. Lars Peter Hansen & Thomas J Sargent, 2014. "Robust Permanent Income and Pricing," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, chapter 3, pages 33-81, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Patrick Augustin & Yehuda Izhakian & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Ambiguity, Volatility, and Credit Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(4), pages 1618-1672.
    5. Marinacci, Massimo & Massari, Filippo, 2019. "Learning from ambiguous and misspecified models," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 144-149.
    6. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    7. Larry G. Epstein & Martin Schneider, 2007. "Learning Under Ambiguity," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 74(4), pages 1275-1303.
    8. Nishimura, Kiyohiko G. & Ozaki, Hiroyuki, 2004. "Search and Knightian uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 119(2), pages 299-333, December.
    9. Patrick Augustin & Yehuda Izhakian & Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, 2020. "Ambiguity, Volatility, and Credit Risk," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 33(4), pages 1618-1672.
    10. Massimo Marinacci, 2002. "Learning from ambiguous urns," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 143-151, January.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ambiguity; Learning; Robust statistical decisions; Misspecified learning;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General

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