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Revisiting the expectations hypothesis: The Japanese term structure and regime shifts

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  • Zhu, Xiaoneng

Abstract

This paper re-examines the expectations hypothesis of the Japanese term structure along two dimensions: (a) allowing regime shifts in interest rate dynamics; (b) introducing macroeconomic factors as conditioning information. The empirical analysis suggests that the expectations hypothesis is an inadequate description of the Japanese term structure even after taking account of regime shifts. However, I find that regime shift is a salient feature of the Japanese term structure and regimes are intimately related to economic activities.

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  • Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2011. "Revisiting the expectations hypothesis: The Japanese term structure and regime shifts," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 63(3), pages 237-249, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:63:y:2011:i:3:p:237-249
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    3. Nicholas Addai Boamah, 2016. "Testing the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rate: the case of Ghana," Journal of African Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 1-15, January.

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