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Explaining share price disparity with parameter uncertainty: Evidence from Chinese A- and H-shares

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  • Chung, Tsz-Kin
  • Hui, Cho-Hoi
  • Li, Ka-Fai

Abstract

The price disparity between the A- and H-share markets for dual-listed firms in China is one of the most intriguing puzzles in the Mainland and Hong Kong financial markets. In this paper, we revisit this price disparity puzzle using the channel of parameter uncertainty. In the presence of information asymmetry and market segmentation, investors have different views on a firm’s asset volatility, and hence different valuations of the same reference firm. We estimate a structural model for equity pricing using a Bayesian approach, in which the uncertainty of investor model parameters is represented by the posterior standard deviation of the firm’s asset volatility. Our regression analysis shows that in addition to other market-based and macro factors, parameter uncertainty explains variations in price disparity.

Suggested Citation

  • Chung, Tsz-Kin & Hui, Cho-Hoi & Li, Ka-Fai, 2013. "Explaining share price disparity with parameter uncertainty: Evidence from Chinese A- and H-shares," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1073-1083.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:37:y:2013:i:3:p:1073-1083
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.11.004
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    Cited by:

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    6. Funke, Michael & Shu, Chang & Cheng, Xiaoqiang & Eraslan, Sercan, 2015. "Assessing the CNH–CNY pricing differential: Role of fundamentals, contagion and policy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 245-262.
    7. Ho, Kin-Yip & Shi, Yanlin & Zhang, Zhaoyong, 2020. "News and return volatility of Chinese bank stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 1095-1105.
    8. Lazar, Emese & Qi, Shuyuan, 2022. "Model risk in the over-the-counter market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 769-784.
    9. Chan, Marc K. & Kwok, Simon, 2018. "Connecting the markets? Recent evidence on China’s capital account liberalization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 417-428.
    10. Fung, Joseph K.W. & Girardin, Eric & Hua, Jian, 2022. "How does the exchange-rate regime affect dual-listed share price parity? Evidence from China’s A- and H-share markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    11. Pavlidis, Efthymios G. & Vasilopoulos, Kostas, 2020. "Speculative bubbles in segmented markets: Evidence from Chinese cross-listed stocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    12. Wang, Weishen, 2020. "Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Exchange Connect Program: A story of two markets and different groups of stocks," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    13. Guo, Lei & Han, Xing & Li, Youwei, 2023. "The smog that hovers: Air pollution and asset prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    14. Emese Lazar & Shuyuan Qi & Radu Tunaru, 2020. "Measures of Model Risk in Continuous-time Finance Models," Papers 2010.08113, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    15. Jiao, Feng & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman & Wang, Zhiqin, 2022. "Price disparity between Chinese A- and H-shares: Dividends, currency values, and the interest rate differential," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    16. Chan, Marc K & Kwok, Simon, 2015. "The Effect of Risk Sharing on Asset Prices: Natural Experiment from the Chinese Stock Market Liberalization," Working Papers 2015-19, University of Sydney, School of Economics.
    17. Li, Shan & Mihaylov, George & Peranginangin, Yessy & Zurbruegg, Ralf, 2021. "Short selling patterns in cross-listed stocks," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    18. R, Sreelakshmi & Sinha, Apra & Mandal, Sabuj Kumar, 2021. "COVID-19 related uncertainty, investor sentiment and stock returns in India," MPRA Paper 109549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Bao, Wei & Guo, Shijun & Peng, Diefeng & Rao, Yulei, 2023. "Trading gap in holidays and price transmission: Evidence from cross-listed stocks on the A-share and H-share markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    20. Cheng, Xu & Kong, Dongmin & Wang, Junbo, 2021. "Political uncertainty and A-H share premium," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    21. Li, Songsong & Xu, Nan & Hui, Xiaofeng, 2020. "International investors and the multifractality property: Evidence from accessible and inaccessible market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    22. Yao, Shujie & He, Hongbo & Chen, Shou & Ou, Jinghua, 2018. "Financial liberalization and cross-border market integration: Evidence from China's stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 220-245.
    23. Chan, Marc K. & Kwok, Simon, 2017. "Risk-sharing, market imperfections, asset prices: Evidence from China’s stock market liberalization," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 166-187.
    24. Tunaru, Radu & Zheng, Teng, 2017. "Parameter estimation risk in asset pricing and risk management: A Bayesian approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 80-93.
    25. Nishimura, Yusaku & Tsutsui, Yoshiro & Hirayama, Kenjiro, 2018. "Do international investors cause stock market spillovers? Comparing responses of cross-listed stocks between accessible and inaccessible markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 237-248.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market segmentation; A- and H-shares; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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