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Demand for leisure air travel and limits to growth

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  • Graham, Anne

Abstract

This paper discusses methodologies for analysing the existence of limits to growth of leisure air travel and defines the concept of demand maturity. It considers the air market as one of a number of inter-related travel markets and applies these concepts to a UK case study. The paper concludes that the UK air international leisure travel market is only at the early stages of maturity; whilst the overall leisure travel market seems to be much nearer to full maturity. This means that if UK air travel is still to experience healthy growth rates, it must be at the expense of the growth of some other UK travel market.

Suggested Citation

  • Graham, Anne, 2000. "Demand for leisure air travel and limits to growth," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 109-118.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:6:y:2000:i:2:p:109-118
    DOI: 10.1016/S0969-6997(99)00031-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Perry, Allen, 1994. "The changing face of flying to the sun," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 1(4), pages 251-254.
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    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6792 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Boonekamp, Thijs & Zuidberg, Joost & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2018. "Determinants of air travel demand: The role of low-cost carriers, ethnic links and aviation-dependent employment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 18-28.
    3. Antonio Núñez, 2008. "Estimating the functional form of road traffic maturity," Post-Print halshs-00323046, HAL.
    4. Gallet, Craig A. & Doucouliagos, Hristos, 2014. "The income elasticity of air travel: A meta-analysis," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 141-155.
    5. Morton, Craig & Mattioli, Giulio, 2023. "Competition in Multi-Airport Regions: Measuring airport catchments through spatial interaction models," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Daniel Borebly, 2018. "A case study on Germany's aviation tax using the synthetic control approach," Working Papers 1816, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    7. Niamh Callaghan & Richard S. J. Tol, 2013. "UK Tourists, the Great Recession and Irish Tourism Policy," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 44(1), pages 103-116.
    8. Mason, K.J., 2007. "Airframe manufacturers: Which has the better view of the future?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 9-15.
    9. Borbely, Daniel, 2019. "A case study on Germany’s aviation tax using the synthetic control approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 377-395.
    10. Fu, Xiaowen & Lei, Zheng & Wang, Kun & Yan, Jia, 2015. "Low cost carrier competition and route entry in an emerging but regulated aviation market – The case of China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 3-16.
    11. Dennis, Nigel P.S, 2002. "Long-term route traffic forecasts and flight schedule pattern for a medium-sized European airport," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 313-324.
    12. Moreno, Luis & Ramon, Ana & Pedreño, Andrés, 2015. "The Development of Low-cost Airlines and Tourism as a Competitiveness Complementor: Effects, Evolution and Strategies," Journal of Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, Cinturs - Research Centre for Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, University of Algarve, vol. 3(4), pages 262-274.
    13. Profillidis, V. & Botzoris, G., 2015. "Air passenger transport and economic activity," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 23-27.
    14. Lian, Jon Inge & Denstadli, Jon Martin, 2004. "Norwegian business air travel–segments and trends," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 109-118.
    15. Njegovan, Nenad, 2006. "Elasticities of demand for leisure air travel: A system modelling approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 33-39.
    16. Benoit Chèze & Pascal Gastineau & Julien Chevallier, 2010. "Forecasting air traffic and corresponding jet-fuel demande until 2025," Working Papers hal-02489878, HAL.
    17. Graham, Anne, 2006. "Have the major forces driving leisure airline traffic changed?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 14-20.
    18. Liu, Zhi-Jun & Debbage, Keith & Blackburn, Brendan, 2006. "Locational determinants of major US air passenger markets by metropolitan area," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(6), pages 331-341.
    19. Chi, Junwook, 2014. "A cointegration analysis of bilateral air travel flows: The case of international travel to and from the United States," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 41-47.
    20. Kaukin, Andrey (Каукин, Андрей), 2018. "Diagnosis of the Growth Model of the Russian Air Transportation Market: Bottlenecks and Directions of Development [Диагностика Модели Роста Российского Рынка Авиаперевозок: Узкие Места И Направлени," Working Papers 061830, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    21. Davison, Lisa & Ryley, Tim, 2010. "Tourism destination preferences of low-cost airline users in the East Midlands," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 458-465.
    22. Zietsman, Davina & Vanderschuren, Marianne, 2014. "Analytic Hierarchy Process assessment for potential multi-airport systems – The case of Cape Town," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-49.
    23. Dresner, Martin, 2006. "Leisure versus business passengers: Similarities, differences, and implications," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 28-32.

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