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Foreign capital flows, credit spreads, and the business cycle

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  • Du, Ding
  • Rousse, Wade

Abstract

Previous studies have found that foreign capital flows into the US Treasury and corporate-bond markets drive US long-term interest rates. In this paper, we extend the literature by showing that (1) foreign capital flows also drive the US risk structure of interest rates (i.e., credit spreads), and (2) the impacts of foreign capital flows through the credit spread on corporate financing and investment as well as aggregate economic activities are significant, even outside of the Global Financial Crisis period.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Ding & Rousse, Wade, 2018. "Foreign capital flows, credit spreads, and the business cycle," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 59-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:57:y:2018:i:c:p:59-79
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2018.06.001
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    Cited by:

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    3. Bayront Yudit Rumondor & Pakasa Bary, 2020. "Capital Flows and Bank Risk-Taking Behavior: Evidence From Indonesia," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 33-53.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign capital flows; Credit spreads; Corporate financing and investment; Global savings glut; Global banking glut;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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