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Information content in CDS spreads for equity returns

Author

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  • Wang, Peipei
  • Bhar, Ramaprasad

Abstract

This study focuses on the information spillover between the credit protection returns and equity returns for 252 United States firms between 2004 and 2010. There is significant information flow from the equity market to the credit default swap (CDS) market under turmoil conditions for investment-grade firms and the reverse is true for non-investment-grade firms. There is also strong evidence of extra information contained in the positive credit protection return one day for the equity market the following day. The behaviour of the markets around credit announcement day leads us to believe that there may be informed trading in the CDS market for high-credit-rating firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Peipei & Bhar, Ramaprasad, 2014. "Information content in CDS spreads for equity returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 55-80.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:30:y:2014:i:c:p:55-80
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.01.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kiesel, Florian & Kolaric, Sascha & Schiereck, Dirk, 2016. "Market integration and efficiency of CDS and equity markets," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 209-229.
    2. Kiesel, F., 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81247, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    3. Wang, Ruolin & Basu, Anup & Clements, Adam, 2023. "Are credit default swaps still a sideshow? How information flow between equity and CDS markets has changed since the financial crisis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Conlon, Thomas & Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg), 2024. "Contagion effects of permissionless, worthless cryptocurrency tokens: Evidence from the collapse of FTX," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    5. Kizys, Renatas & Paltalidis, Nikos & Vergos, Konstantinos, 2016. "The quest for banking stability in the euro area: The role of government interventions," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 111-133.
    6. Gatfaoui, Hayette, 2017. "Equity market information and credit risk signaling: A quantile cointegrating regression approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 48-59.
    7. Paulo Pereira da Silva, 2016. "Did Investors Seeking Short Exposure Move to the CDS Market after the 2011 Short-Sale Bans in European Financial Stocks?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 66(4), pages 322-353, August.
    8. Chau, Frankie & Han, Chulwoo & Shi, Shimeng, 2018. "Dynamics and determinants of credit risk discovery: Evidence from CDS and stock markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 156-169.
    9. Mardi Dungey & Eric Renault, 2018. "Identifying contagion," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(2), pages 227-250, March.
    10. Park, Heewoo & Kim, Tong Suk & Park, Yuen Jung, 2021. "Asymmetric information in the equity market and information flow from the equity market to the CDS market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    11. Kiesel, Florian, 2016. "The effect of credit and rating events on credit default swap and equity markets," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 81265, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    12. Koutmos, Dimitrios, 2019. "Asset pricing factors and bank CDS spreads," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 19-41.
    13. José Da Fonseca & Peiming Wang, 2016. "A joint analysis of market indexes in credit default swap, volatility and stock markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(19), pages 1767-1784, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swap; Equity return; Information spillover; Financial crisis; Price discovery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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