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The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis

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  • Maghyereh, Aktham
  • Awartani, Basel
  • Abdoh, Hussein

Abstract

In this paper, we use wavelet coherence analysis to find that sentiment has a significant effect on crude oil returns that lasts over various investment horizons. While oil returns are positively associated with the sentiments of optimism and trust, they are negatively linked to fear and anger. These relations are more pronounced over the medium and the long term. Additionally, we find that short-term oil returns are relatively more sentiment-sensitive during turbulent periods than in normal conditions. These results highlight the importance of sentiment and investor psychology in the crude oil market.

Suggested Citation

  • Maghyereh, Aktham & Awartani, Basel & Abdoh, Hussein, 2020. "The effects of investor emotions sentiments on crude oil returns: A time and frequency dynamics analysis," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 110-124.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:162:y:2020:i:c:p:110-124
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2020.01.004
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    3. Zhuhua Jiang & Rim El Khoury & Muneer M. Alshater & Seong‐Min Yoon, 2024. "Impact of global macroeconomic factors on spillovers among Australian sector markets: Fresh findings from a wavelet‐based analysis," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(1), pages 78-105, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Co-movement; Crude oil; Emotions sentiments; Wavelet analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

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