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The exchange rate, asymmetric shocks and asymmetric distributions

Author

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  • Demian, Calin-Vlad
  • di Mauro, Filippo

Abstract

The elasticity of exports to exchange rate fluctuations has been the subject of a large body of literature without a clear consensus emerging. Using a novel sector-level dataset based on firm level information, we show that exchange rate elasticities double in size when country and sector specific firm productivity distributions are considered in the empirical estimations. In addition, exports appear to be sensitive to appreciation episodes, but rather unaffected by depreciations. Finally, only rather large changes in the exchange rate appear to matter. The paper intends to contribute to the debate on the effectiveness and impacts of exchange rate movements, which features highly in the policy agenda.

Suggested Citation

  • Demian, Calin-Vlad & di Mauro, Filippo, 2018. "The exchange rate, asymmetric shocks and asymmetric distributions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 68-85.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:154:y:2018:i:c:p:68-85
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2017.10.005
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    2. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Ferda Halicioglu & Rebecca Neumann, 2018. "Domestic investment responses to changes in the real exchange rate: Asymmetries of appreciation versus depreciation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 362-375, October.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Jungho Baek, 2020. "On the asymmetric effects of the real exchange rate on domestic investment in G7 countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(4), pages 303-318, December.
    4. Brun,Martin & Gambetta,Juan Pedro & Varela,Gonzalo J., 2020. "Slow Rockets and Fast Feathers or the Link between Exchange Rates and Exports : A Case Study for Pakistan," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9353, The World Bank.
    5. Park, Ki Young & Kim, Soohyon, 2019. "Detecting currency manipulation: An application of a state-space model with Markov switching," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 50-60.
    6. Belghitar, Yacine & Clark, Ephraim & Dropsy, Vincent & Mefteh-Wali, Salma, 2021. "The effect of exchange rate fluctuations on the performance of small and medium sized enterprises: Implications for Brexit," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 399-410.
    7. Ortega, Eva & Osbat, Chiara, 2020. "Exchange rate pass-through in the euro area and EU countries," Occasional Paper Series 241, European Central Bank.
    8. Brun, Martin & Gambetta, Juan Pedro & Varela, Gonzalo J., 2022. "Why do exports react less to real exchange rate depreciations than to appreciations? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Philip R Lane & Livio Stracca, 2018. "Can appreciation be expansionary? Evidence from the euro area," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 33(94), pages 225-264.
    10. Fedoseeva, Svetlana & Zeidan, Rodrigo, 2016. "A dead-end tunnel or the light at the end of it: The role of BRICs in European exports," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 237-248.
    11. Arash Habibi & Chin Lee, 2019. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rates on Stock Prices in G7 Countries," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 19-33.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate elasticity; Bilateral trade; Productivity dispersion; TFP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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