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Asset allocation for a DC pension fund under stochastic interest rates and inflation-protected guarantee

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  • Tang, Mei-Ling
  • Chen, Son-Nan
  • Lai, Gene C.
  • Wu, Ting-Pin

Abstract

This paper aims to propose referable asset allocation criteria for a defined-contribution (DC) pension plan under stochastic interest rates and the minimum guarantee of inflation protection on annuities. Motivated by the work of Litterman and Scheinkman (1991), which verifies that interest rate risks could be properly modeled with multiple factors, our proposed model extends the Jarrow and Yildirim (JY, 2003) model to a multi-factor framework, and simultaneously incorporates a stock asset to develop what is called the extended JY model in this study. The extended JY model can specify an economic environment with the consideration of risks arising from nominal and real interest rates, the CPI index (inflation rates), and the value of a stock portfolio, which facilitates to complete the closed-form solutions for the stochastic dynamic programming problem of a DC pension plan. The subsequent numerical experiment examines the allocative behaviors in an inflationary economy. In addition, the term effects among interest rates show to have a substantial impact on allocative decisions, and thus can be properly exploited to improve the final wealth of the pension fund.

Suggested Citation

  • Tang, Mei-Ling & Chen, Son-Nan & Lai, Gene C. & Wu, Ting-Pin, 2018. "Asset allocation for a DC pension fund under stochastic interest rates and inflation-protected guarantee," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 87-104.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:78:y:2018:i:c:p:87-104
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.11.004
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    Cited by:

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    2. Zhiping Chen & Liyuan Wang & Ping Chen & Haixiang Yao, 2019. "Continuous-Time Mean–Variance Optimization For Defined Contribution Pension Funds With Regime-Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(06), pages 1-33, September.
    3. Xiao Xu, 2020. "The optimal investment strategy of a DC pension plan under deposit loan spread and the O-U process," Papers 2005.10661, arXiv.org.
    4. Xiaoyi Zhang, 2022. "Optimal DC Pension Management Under Inflation Risk With Jump Diffusion Price Index and Cost of Living Process," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1253-1270, June.
    5. Xiaoyi Zhang & Junyi Guo, 2018. "The Role of Inflation-Indexed Bond in Optimal Management of Defined Contribution Pension Plan During the Decumulation Phase," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-16, March.
    6. Pengyu Wei & Charles Yang, 2023. "Optimal investment for defined-contribution pension plans under money illusion," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 729-753, August.
    7. Ankush Agarwal & Christian-Oliver Ewald & Yongjie Wang, 2023. "Hedging longevity risk in defined contribution pension schemes," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 1-34, December.
    8. Wujun Lv & Linlin Tian & Xiaoyi Zhang, 2023. "Optimal Defined Contribution Pension Management with Jump Diffusions and Common Shock Dependence," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-20, July.
    9. Mei-Ling Tang & Ting-Pin Wu & Ming-Chin Hung, 2022. "Optimal Pension Fund Management with Foreign Investment in a Stochastic Environment," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-21, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset allocation; Defined contribution pension plan; Stochastic interest rate; Inflation-indexed bond; Minimum guarantee;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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