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On minimizing drawdown risks of lifetime investments

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  • Chen, Xinfu
  • Landriault, David
  • Li, Bin
  • Li, Dongchen

Abstract

Drawdown measures the decline of portfolio value from its historic high-water mark. In this paper, we study a lifetime investment problem aiming at minimizing the risk of drawdown occurrences. Under the Black–Scholes framework, we examine two financial market models: a market with two risky assets, and a market with a risk-free asset and a risky asset. Closed-form optimal trading strategies are derived under both models by utilizing a decomposition technique on the associated Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation. We show that it is optimal to minimize the portfolio variance when the fund value is at its historic high-water mark. Moreover, when the fund value drops, the proportion of wealth invested in the asset with a higher instantaneous rate of return should be increased. We find that the instantaneous return rate of the minimum lifetime drawdown probability (MLDP) portfolio is never less than the return rate of the minimum variance (MV) portfolio. This supports the practical use of drawdown-based performance measures in which the role of volatility is replaced by drawdown.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Xinfu & Landriault, David & Li, Bin & Li, Dongchen, 2015. "On minimizing drawdown risks of lifetime investments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 46-54.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:65:y:2015:i:c:p:46-54
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.08.007
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexei Chekhlov & Stanislav Uryasev & Michael Zabarankin, 2005. "Drawdown Measure In Portfolio Optimization," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 13-58.
    2. Vladimir Cherny & Jan Obłój, 2013. "Portfolio optimisation under non-linear drawdown constraints in a semimartingale financial model," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 771-800, October.
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    5. Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2007. "Minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin under borrowing constraints," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 196-221, July.
    6. Angoshtari, Bahman & Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2015. "Minimizing the expected lifetime spent in drawdown under proportional consumption," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 106-114.
    7. Vladimir Cherny & Jan Obloj, 2011. "Portfolio optimisation under non-linear drawdown constraints in a semimartingale financial model," Papers 1110.6289, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yakun Liu & Jingchao Li & Jieming Zhou & Yingchun Deng, 2024. "Optimal Investment and Reinsurance to Maximize the Probability of Drawup Before Drawdown," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 1-34, September.
    2. Hansjoerg Albrecher & Pablo Azcue & Nora Muler, 2022. "Optimal dividends under a drawdown constraint and a curious square-root rule," Papers 2206.12220, arXiv.org.
    3. Hongzhong Zhang, 2018. "Stochastic Drawdowns," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 10078, August.
    4. C. A. Valle & J. E. Beasley, 2019. "A nonlinear optimisation model for constructing minimal drawdown portfolios," Papers 1908.08684, arXiv.org.
    5. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A., 2016. "Longevity risk and retirement income tax efficiency: A location spending rate puzzle," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 50-62.
    6. Cohen, Asaf & Young, Virginia R., 2016. "Minimizing lifetime poverty with a penalty for bankruptcy," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 156-167.
    7. Leonie Violetta Brinker, 2021. "Minimal Expected Time in Drawdown through Investment for an Insurance Diffusion Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, January.
    8. Ankush Agarwal & Ronnie Sircar, 2017. "Portfolio Benchmarking under Drawdown Constraint and Stochastic Sharpe Ratio," Working Papers hal-01388399, HAL.
    9. Angoshtari, Bahman & Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2015. "Minimizing the expected lifetime spent in drawdown under proportional consumption," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 106-114.
    10. Yu Yuan & Zhibin Liang & Xia Han, 2022. "Minimizing the penalized probability of drawdown for a general insurance company under ambiguity aversion," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 96(2), pages 259-290, October.
    11. Wang, Wenyuan & Chen, Ping & Li, Shuanming, 2020. "Generalized expected discounted penalty function at general drawdown for Lévy risk processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 12-25.
    12. Angoshtari, Bahman & Bayraktar, Erhan & Young, Virginia R., 2016. "Minimizing the probability of lifetime drawdown under constant consumption," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 210-223.
    13. Ankush Agarwal & Ronnie Sircar, 2016. "Portfolio Benchmarking under Drawdown Constraint and Stochastic Sharpe Ratio," Papers 1610.08558, arXiv.org.
    14. Landriault, David & Li, Bin & Lkabous, Mohamed Amine, 2021. "On the analysis of deep drawdowns for the Lévy insurance risk model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 147-155.
    15. Hansjörg Albrecher & Pablo Azcue & Nora Muler, 2023. "Optimal dividends under a drawdown constraint and a curious square-root rule," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 341-400, April.
    16. Chonghu Guan & Zuo Quan Xu, 2023. "Optimal ratcheting of dividend payout under Brownian motion surplus," Papers 2308.15048, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.

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