IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v53y2013i1p216-229.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Market Value Margin calculations under the Cost of Capital approach within a Bayesian chain ladder framework

Author

Listed:
  • Robert, Christian Y.

Abstract

In the Solvency II framework, insurance companies need to calculate the Best Estimate valuation of Liabilities (BEL) and the Market Value Margin (MVM) for non-hedgeable insurance-technical risks. The Cost-of-Capital approach defines the MVM as the present value of the current and future Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR) of the non-hedgeable risks to protect against adverse developments in the run-off of the insurance liabilities. However the SCR at time t itself depends on the increase in the MVM between t and t+1. Hence there exists an intricate circularity dependency between both quantities. In this paper we present exact and accurate approximate analytic formulas for MVMs within a Bayesian log-normal chain ladder framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert, Christian Y., 2013. "Market Value Margin calculations under the Cost of Capital approach within a Bayesian chain ladder framework," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 216-229.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:53:y:2013:i:1:p:216-229
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.05.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668713000802
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2013.05.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Salzmann, Robert & Wüthrich, Mario V., 2010. "Cost-of-Capital Margin for a General Insurance Liability Runoff," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 415-451, November.
    2. Merz, Michael & Wüthrich, Mario V., 2010. "Paid-incurred chain claims reserving method," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 568-579, June.
    3. Bühlmann, Hans & De Felice, Massimo & Gisler, Alois & Moriconi, Franco & Wüthrich, Mario V., 2009. "Recursive Credibility Formula for Chain Ladder Factors and the Claims Development Result," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(1), pages 275-306, May.
    4. Kaas, Rob & Dhaene, Jan & Goovaerts, Marc J., 2000. "Upper and lower bounds for sums of random variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 151-168, October.
    5. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    6. Wüthrich Mario V. & Embrechts Paul & Tsanakas Andreas, 2011. "Risk margin for a non-life insurance run-off," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 28(4), pages 299-317, December.
    7. Ohlsson, Esbjörn & Lauzeningks, Jan, 2009. "The one-year non-life insurance risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 203-208, October.
    8. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: theory," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 3-33, August.
    9. Dhaene, J. & Denuit, M. & Goovaerts, M. J. & Kaas, R. & Vyncke, D., 2002. "The concept of comonotonicity in actuarial science and finance: applications," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 133-161, October.
    10. Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso, 1977. "Abstract: An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 627-627, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Claudio Albanese & Simone Caenazzo & St'ephane Cr'epey, 2016. "Capital Valuation Adjustment and Funding Valuation Adjustment," Papers 1603.03012, arXiv.org.
    2. Christian Biener & Martin Eling & Shailee Pradhan, 2015. "Recent Research Developments Affecting Nonlife Insurance—The CAS Risk Premium Project 2013 Update," Risk Management and Insurance Review, American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 18(1), pages 129-141, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Raj Kumari Bahl & Sotirios Sabanis, 2017. "General Price Bounds for Guaranteed Annuity Options," Papers 1707.00807, arXiv.org.
    2. Hürlimann, Werner, 2010. "Analytical Pricing of the Unit-Linked Endowment with Guarantees and Periodic Premiums," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 631-653, November.
    3. Chen, X. & Deelstra, G. & Dhaene, J. & Vanmaele, M., 2008. "Static super-replicating strategies for a class of exotic options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 1067-1085, June.
    4. Koch, Inge & Schepper, Ann De, 2007. "An application of comonotonicity and convex ordering to present values with truncated stochastic interest rates," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 386-402, May.
    5. Radu Tunaru, 2015. "Model Risk in Financial Markets:From Financial Engineering to Risk Management," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 9524, August.
    6. DECAMPS, Marc & DE SCHEPPER, Ann & GOOVAERTS, Marc, "undated". "Path integrals as a tool for pricing interest rate contingent claims: The case of reflecting and absorbing boundaries," Working Papers 2003027, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    7. Antonella Campana, 2007. "On Tail Value-at-Risk for sums of non-independent random variables with a generalized Pareto distribution," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance Theory, Springer;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 32(2), pages 169-180, December.
    8. Dhaene, J. & Henrard, L. & Landsman, Z. & Vandendorpe, A. & Vanduffel, S., 2008. "Some results on the CTE-based capital allocation rule," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 855-863, April.
    9. Bahareh Afhami & Mohsen Rezapour & Mohsen Madadi & Vahed Maroufy, 2021. "Dynamic investment portfolio optimization using a Multivariate Merton Model with Correlated Jump Risk," Papers 2104.11594, arXiv.org.
    10. Brückner, Karsten, 2008. "Quantifying the error of convex order bounds for truncated first moments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 261-270, February.
    11. Laeven, Roger J.A., 2009. "Worst VaR scenarios: A remark," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 159-163, April.
    12. Van Weert, Koen & Dhaene, Jan & Goovaerts, Marc, 2010. "Optimal portfolio selection for general provisioning and terminal wealth problems," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 90-97, August.
    13. Annaert, Jan & Deelstra, Griselda & Heyman, Dries & Vanmaele, Michèle, 2007. "Risk management of a bond portfolio using options," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 299-316, November.
    14. Antonella Campana & Paola Ferretti, 2005. "Distortion Risk Measures and Discrete Risks," Game Theory and Information 0510013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Alain Chateauneuf & Mina Mostoufi & David Vyncke, 2015. "Comonotonic Monte Carlo and its applications in option pricing and quantification of risk," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15015, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    16. Valdez, Emiliano A. & Dhaene, Jan & Maj, Mateusz & Vanduffel, Steven, 2009. "Bounds and approximations for sums of dependent log-elliptical random variables," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 385-397, June.
    17. J. Marin-Solano (Universitat de Barcelona) & O. Roch (Universitat de Barcelona) & J. Dhaene (Katholieke Univerisiteit Leuven) & C. Ribas (Universitat de Barcelona) & M. Bosch-Princep (Universitat de B, 2009. "Buy-and-Hold Strategies and Comonotonic Approximations," Working Papers in Economics 213, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia.
    18. Antonella Campana & Paola Ferretti, 2008. "Bounds for Concave Distortion Risk Measures for Sums of Risks," Springer Books, in: Cira Perna & Marilena Sibillo (ed.), Mathematical and Statistical Methods in Insurance and Finance, pages 43-51, Springer.
    19. Karel J. in’t Hout & Jacob Snoeijer, 2021. "Numerical Valuation of American Basket Options via Partial Differential Complementarity Problems," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-17, June.
    20. Karel in 't Hout & Jacob Snoeijer, 2021. "Numerical valuation of American basket options via partial differential complementarity problems," Papers 2106.01200, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:53:y:2013:i:1:p:216-229. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.