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Risk processes with shot noise Cox claim number process and reserve dependent premium rate

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  • Macci, Claudio
  • Torrisi, Giovanni Luca

Abstract

We consider a suitable scaling, called the slow Markov walk limit, for a risk process with shot noise Cox claim number process and reserve dependent premium rate. We provide large deviation estimates for the ruin probability. Furthermore, we find an asymptotically efficient law for the simulation of the ruin probability using importance sampling. Finally, we present asymptotic bounds for ruin probabilities in the Bayesian setting.

Suggested Citation

  • Macci, Claudio & Torrisi, Giovanni Luca, 2011. "Risk processes with shot noise Cox claim number process and reserve dependent premium rate," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 134-145, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:48:y:2011:i:1:p:134-145
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. M. Concepcion Ausin & Michael P. Wiper & Rosa E. Lillo, 2009. "Bayesian estimation of finite time ruin probabilities," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 787-805, November.
    2. de Acosta, A., 1994. "Large deviations for vector-valued Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 75-115, June.
    3. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook, 2003. "Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2849, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Angelos Dassios & Xin Dong, 2014. "Stationarity of Bivariate Dynamic Contagion Processes," Papers 1405.5842, arXiv.org.
    2. Simon Pojer & Stefan Thonhauser, 2023. "The Markovian Shot-noise Risk Model: A Numerical Method for Gerber-Shiu Functions," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 1-26, March.
    3. Jang, Jiwook & Dassios, Angelos & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2018. "Moments of renewal shot-noise processes and their applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Liu, Wenyue & Cadenillas, Abel, 2023. "Optimal insurance contracts for a shot-noise Cox claim process and persistent insured's actions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 69-93.
    5. Jiwook Jang & Jong Jun Park & Hyun Jin Jang, 2018. "Catastrophe Insurance Derivatives Pricing Using A Cox Process With Jump Diffusion Cir Intensity," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(07), pages 1-20, November.
    6. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 55-65.
    7. Hansjoerg Albrecher & Pablo Azcue & Nora Muler, 2023. "Optimal dividend strategies for a catastrophe insurer," Papers 2311.05781, arXiv.org.
    8. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 64051, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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