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Estimating the diffusion models of crisis information in micro blog

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  • Wei, Jiuchang
  • Bu, Bing
  • Liang, Liang

Abstract

The study tries to construct the diffusion models of crisis information in micro blog. We propose three information release patterns in micro blog according to the duration of crisis information released, namely concentrated release, continuous release, and pulse release. Based on Logistic function, three respective diffusion models are constructed. We choose three crisis events to test the diffusion models using the variables of the number of micro blogs with the crisis information (NMCI) and the increment of NMCI. The estimate results show that the diffusion of crisis information in micro blogs can be described by Logistic function, and the growth curve of NMCI is S-shaped.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei, Jiuchang & Bu, Bing & Liang, Liang, 2012. "Estimating the diffusion models of crisis information in micro blog," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 600-610.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:infome:v:6:y:2012:i:4:p:600-610
    DOI: 10.1016/j.joi.2012.06.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Frank M. Bass & Trichy V. Krishnan & Dipak C. Jain, 1994. "Why the Bass Model Fits without Decision Variables," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 13(3), pages 203-223.
    2. Jiuchang Wei & Dingtao Zhao & Liang Liang, 2009. "Estimating the growth models of news stories on disasters," Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 60(9), pages 1741-1755, September.
    3. Paul D. Allison, 1980. "Estimation and Testing for a Markov Model of Reinforcement," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 8(4), pages 434-453, May.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Xianwen Wang & Wenli Mao & Shenmeng Xu & Chunbo Zhang, 2014. "Usage history of scientific literature: Nature metrics and metrics of Nature publications," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 98(3), pages 1923-1933, March.
    3. Xu, Jia & Wei, Jiuchang & Zhao, Dingtao, 2016. "Influence of social media on operational efficiency of national scenic spots in china based on three-stage DEA model," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 374-388.
    4. Vera Ivanyuk, 2021. "Formulating the Concept of an Investment Strategy Adaptable to Changes in the Market Situation," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-19, June.
    5. Jun, Seung-Pyo & Sung, Tae-Eung & Park, Hyun-Woo, 2017. "Forecasting by analogy using the web search traffic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 37-51.
    6. Guanghui Yuan & Zhiqiang Liu & Yaqiong Wang & Dongping Pu, 2023. "Market Demand Optimization Model Based on Information Perception Control," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, February.

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