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Relations between portfolio returns and market multiples

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  • Barbee Jr., William C.
  • Jeong, Jin-Gil
  • Mukherji, Sandip

Abstract

We examined the relations of various market multiples with subsequent annual returns for portfolios of liquid U.S. stocks. In univariate regressions, price/sales (P/S) has the most consistently significant negative relation and highest explanatory power. Multivariate regression models, decomposing P/S into other market multiples and various profitability ratios, have greater explanatory power. The component of P/S that has the most consistently significant negative relationship with returns is the net profit margin. This finding is consistent with earlier evidence that the value premium reflects market overreaction to both the depressed profitability of value stocks and high profitability of growth stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbee Jr., William C. & Jeong, Jin-Gil & Mukherji, Sandip, 2008. "Relations between portfolio returns and market multiples," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-10.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:19:y:2008:i:1:p:1-10
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tanveer Ahmad; Syed Muhammad Amir Shah, 2017. "The Value-Growth Indicators and Value Premium: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange," South Asian Journal of Management Sciences (SAJMS), Iqra University, Iqra University, vol. 11(2), pages 124-139, Fall.
    2. Eero J. Pätäri & Timo H. Leivo & Janne Hulkkonen & J. V. Samuli Honkapuro, 2018. "Enhancement of value investing strategies based on financial statement variables: the German evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 813-845, October.
    3. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    4. Timo H. Leivo, 2012. "Combining value and momentum indicators in varying stock market conditions," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(4), pages 400-447, October.
    5. Eero J. Pätäri & Ville Karell & Pasi Luukka, 2016. "Can size-, industry-, and leverage-adjustment of valuation ratios benefit the value investor?," International Journal of Business Innovation and Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 11(1), pages 76-109.
    6. Pätäri, Eero & Leivo, Timo & Honkapuro, Samuli, 2012. "Enhancement of equity portfolio performance using data envelopment analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(3), pages 786-797.
    7. Schnaubelt, Matthias & Seifert, Oleg, 2020. "Valuation ratios, surprises, uncertainty or sentiment: How does financial machine learning predict returns from earnings announcements?," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 04/2020, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.

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