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Financial stability, interest-rate smoothing and equilibrium determinacy

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  • Di Giorgio, Giorgio
  • Rotondi, Zeno

Abstract

This paper examines the interaction between monetary policy and financial stability and provides an assessment of the implications of banks' risk management practices for monetary policy. By considering the desire of the central bank to stabilize different types of the "basis" risk as a contribution to financial stability, we derive a set of plausible interest-rate rules characterized by either backward or forward interest-rate smoothing. The paper investigates the determinacy conditions of the rational expectations equilibria obtained under such rules. Contrary to what previously found in the literature, we find that the practice of smoothing interest rates backward does not in general alleviate problems of equilibrium indeterminacy. Moreover, basis risk stabilization may lead to policy rules embedding "forward" interest-rate smoothing, where a new kind of indeterminacy may arise following excessive concern for financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Di Giorgio, Giorgio & Rotondi, Zeno, 2011. "Financial stability, interest-rate smoothing and equilibrium determinacy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 1-9, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:7:y:2011:i:1:p:1-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Stefano Marzioni, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Liquidity Stress and Learning Dynamics," Working Papers CASMEF 1102, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
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    5. Zongjun Wang & Gongkhonkwa Rujira, 2013. "The Dynamic Relationship of Stock Indexes on Interbank Money Market Rates: Evidence from Thailand," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 3(4), pages 827-843.
    6. Arouri, Mohamed & Jawadi, Fredj & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2013. "What can we tell about monetary policy synchronization and interdependence over the 2007–2009 global financial crisis?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 175-187.
    7. Giorgio Giorgio, 2014. "Monetary policy challenges: how central banks changed their modus operandi," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 4(1), pages 25-43, June.
    8. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Krichene, Noureddine, 2017. "Financial Stability of Conventional and Islamic Banks: A Survey," MPRA Paper 82372, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Hassan B. Ghassan & Stefano Fachin, 2016. "Time series analysis of financial stability of banks: Evidence from Saudi Arabia," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 3-17, November.

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