IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v69y2024ipas1544612324010390.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Middle East conflict and energy companies: The effect of air and drone strikes on global energy stocks

Author

Listed:
  • Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul
  • Goldstein, Michael A.
  • Malhotra, Nidhi
  • Yadav, Miklesh Prasad

Abstract

The recent April 2024 Israel-Iran conflict had a notable impact on global energy markets. Returns on the top ten global energy stocks indicate investor apprehension up to 10 days before the event started on April 13, 2024. Energy stocks had significant negative returns on the event day itself, with positive CAARs pre-event and negative CAARs post-event. The dynamic market response highlights the heightened uncertainty for energy firms due to regional instability and potential supply chain interruptions, emphasizing the critical role of geopolitical events in shaping investor sentiment and the financial performance of energy firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Goldstein, Michael A. & Malhotra, Nidhi & Yadav, Miklesh Prasad, 2024. "Middle East conflict and energy companies: The effect of air and drone strikes on global energy stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pa:s1544612324010390
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2024.106009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324010390
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Helmi, Mohamad Husam & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on sustainable markets: A quantile-time-frequency analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    2. Fang, Yi & Shao, Zhiquan, 2022. "The Russia-Ukraine conflict and volatility risk of commodity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    3. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2024. "Higher-order moment risk spillovers across various financial and commodity markets: Insights from the Israeli–Palestinian conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    4. Daxuan Cheng & Yin Liao & Zheyao Pan, 2023. "The geopolitical risk premium in the commodity futures market," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(8), pages 1069-1090, August.
    5. Yilmazkuday, Hakan, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and stock prices," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    7. Ma, Feng & Lu, Fei & Tao, Ying, 2022. "Geopolitical risk and excess stock returns predictability: New evidence from a century of data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Carney, Richard W. & El Ghoul, Sadok & Guedhami, Omrane & Wang, He (Helen), 2024. "Geopolitical risk and the cost of capital in emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    9. Hassan, M Kabir & Boubaker, Sabri & Kumari, Vineeta & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    10. Huntington, Hillard G., 2018. "Measuring oil supply disruptions: A historical perspective," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 426-433.
    11. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta & Palma, Alessia & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Are markets in happier countries less affected by tragic events? Evidence from market reaction to the Israel–Hamas conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    12. Khan, Khalid & Khurshid, Adnan & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2023. "Investigating the relationship between geopolitical risks and economic security: Empirical evidence from central and Eastern European countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Hossain, Ashrafee T. & Masum, Abdullah-Al & Saadi, Samir, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risks on foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the Russia–Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    14. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    15. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    16. Yadav, Miklesh Prasad & Rao, Amar & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Tabassum, Sabia & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "The domino effect: Analyzing the impact of Silicon Valley Bank's fall on top equity indices around the world," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
    17. Khan, Khalid & Khurshid, Adnan & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2023. "Energy security analysis in a geopolitically volatile world: A causal study," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    18. Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Hai-Ying & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "The impact of OPEC on East Asian oil import security: A multidimensional analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 99-107.
    19. Feng, Chaonan & Han, Liyan & Vigne, Samuel & Xu, Yang, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the dynamics of international capital flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    20. Ohikhuare, Obaika M., 2023. "How geopolitical risk drives spillover interconnectedness between crude oil and exchange rate markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dharen Kumar Pandey & Waleed M. Al‐ahdal & Hafiza Aishah Hashim, 2024. "Stock market reaction to mandatory sustainability reporting: Does carbon‐intensity and environmental, social, and governance reputation matter?," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(8), pages 9116-9140, December.
    2. Khurshid, Adnan & Khan, Khalid & Rauf, Abdur & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier, 2024. "Effect of geopolitical risk on resources prices in the global and Russian-Ukrainian context: A novel Bayesian structural model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Martins, António Miguel, 2024. "Global equity, commodities and bond market response to Israel-Hamas war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    4. Hao, Xinlei & Ma, Yong & Pan, Dongtao, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and the predictability of spillovers between exchange, commodity and stock markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Schlosky, Minh Tam Tammy & Karadas, Serkan & Stivers, Adam, 2024. "Forecasting U.S. Stock Returns Conditional on Geopolitical Risk and Business Cycles," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    6. Assaf, Rima & Gupta, Deeksha & Kumar, Rahul, 2023. "The price of war: Effect of the Russia-Ukraine war on the global financial market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    7. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Rajesh, S.P. & Kumari, Vineeta, 2024. "Do election results resolve economic uncertainty? Evidence from Indian election 2024," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    8. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yuan, Zihao & He, Zhi-Wen & Xiao, Fu, 2024. "Do geopolitical risks always harm energy security? Their non-linear effects and mechanism," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    9. Roy, Tonoy & Bhuiyan, Rubaiyat Ahsan & Ahmed, Sarwar Uddin & Abdullah, Mohammad, 2024. "Geopolitical conflict and firm bankruptcy risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Khan, Nasir & Mejri, Sami & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "How do global commodities react to increasing geopolitical risks? New insights into the Russia-Ukraine and Palestine-Israel conflicts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    11. Gao, Wang & Wei, Jiajia & Zhang, Hongwei & Zhang, Haizhen, 2024. "The higher-order moments connectedness between rare earth and clean energy markets and the role of geopolitical risk:New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    12. Ahmed, Shamima & Assaf, Rima & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Tabassum, Fariha, 2023. "Is geopolitical risk interconnected? Evidence from Russian-Ukraine crisis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    13. Hu, Zinan & Borjigin, Sumuya, 2024. "The amplifying role of geopolitical Risks, economic policy Uncertainty, and climate risks on Energy-Stock market volatility spillover across economic cycles," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    14. Mengxuan, Tian & Khan, Khalid & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Sukumaran, Sheiladevi, 2024. "Technological innovation and energy efficiency in central Eastern European countries," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    15. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta, 2024. "Effects of draft Climate-related Financial Risks Disclosure Framework on stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    16. Nobanee, Haitham & Azmi, Wajahat & Chakraborty, Dipanwita & Hamill, Philip Anthony & Nghiem, Xuan-Hoa, 2023. "Can we breathe a sigh of relief now? The impact of First Republic Bank takeover by JP Morgan on the US equity markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    17. Kumari, Vineeta & Hassan, Majdi & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2024. "Are high-income and innovative nations resilient to the Russia-Ukraine war?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1268-1287.
    18. Martins, António Miguel, 2023. "Stock market effects of silicon valley bank and credit suisse failure: evidence for a sample of european listed banks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    19. Yang, Tianle & Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Min & Du, Qunyang, 2023. "Geopolitical risks, oil price shocks and inflation: Evidence from a TVP–SV–VAR approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    20. Yue, Tian & Li, Lu-Lu & Ruan, Xinfeng & Zhang, Jin E., 2024. "Smirking in the energy market: Evidence from the Chinese crude oil options market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:69:y:2024:i:pa:s1544612324010390. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.