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What drives volatility in Bitcoin market?

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  • Bakas, Dimitrios
  • Magkonis, Georgios
  • Oh, Eun Young

Abstract

This study aims to identify the main drivers of Bitcoin volatility. The empirical analysis is based on a dynamic Bayesian model averaging approach for twenty-two potential determinants. The results reveal that the most important factors for Bitcoin volatility are Google trends, total circulation of Bitcoins, US consumer confidence and the S&P500 index.

Suggested Citation

  • Bakas, Dimitrios & Magkonis, Georgios & Oh, Eun Young, 2022. "What drives volatility in Bitcoin market?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:50:y:2022:i:c:s1544612322004378
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103237
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fang, Libing & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2019. "Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 29-36.
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng, Lingbing & Qi, Jiajun & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Enhancing cryptocurrency market volatility forecasting with daily dynamic tuning strategy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    2. Algieri, Bernardina & Lawuobahsumo, Kokulo & Leccadito, Arturo, 2024. "Calendar Effects on Returns, Volatility and Higher Moments: Evidence from Crypto Markets," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2024001, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    3. Haritha GB & Sahana N. B, 2023. "Cryptocurrency Price Prediction using Twitter Sentiment Analysis," Papers 2303.09397, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bitcoin; Cryptocurrency markets; Volatility; Dynamic model averaging;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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