IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v46y2022ipbs1544612321004244.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Price effects in the Chinese stock market: Evidence from the China securities index (CSI300) based on regression discontinuity

Author

Listed:
  • YAO, Dongmin
  • ZHOU, Shiyu
  • CHEN, Yijing

Abstract

In this study, we used regression discontinuity and difference-in-differences methods to verify whether price effects exist in the China Securities Index (CSI 300). Results suggest that the stocks included in this index had an extra abnormal rate of return of approximately 15% compared with the control group. Furthermore, the excluded stocks had a negative abnormal return of approximately 10% before the exclusion announcement, which reversed after the announcement. However, the price effects of the excluded stocks were not significant. Overall, the results indicate that price effects in the CSI 300 are asymmetrical.

Suggested Citation

  • YAO, Dongmin & ZHOU, Shiyu & CHEN, Yijing, 2022. "Price effects in the Chinese stock market: Evidence from the China securities index (CSI300) based on regression discontinuity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pb:s1544612321004244
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102435
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612321004244
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102435?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yu, Sijia & Zhang, Junrui & Qiu, Meng, 2020. "Political uncertainty and analysts’ forecasts: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    2. Allen, Franklin & Qian, Jun & Qian, Meijun, 2005. "Law, finance, and economic growth in China," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 57-116, July.
    3. Ernest N. Biktimirov & Arnold R. Cowan & Bradford D. Jordan, 2004. "Do Demand Curves for Small Stocks Slope Down?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 161-178, June.
    4. Chen, Shuning & Zhang, Wei & Feng, Xu & Xiong, Xiong, 2020. "Asymmetry of retail investors’ attention and asymmetric volatility: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    5. Jeffrey Wurgler & Ekaterina Zhuravskaya, 2002. "Does Arbitrage Flatten Demand Curves for Stocks?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(4), pages 583-608, October.
    6. Yen-Cheng Chang & Harrison Hong & Inessa Liskovich, 2015. "Regression Discontinuity and the Price Effects of Stock Market Indexing," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 212-246.
    7. Cheng, Feiyang & Chiao, Chaoshin & Fang, Zhenming & Wang, Chunfeng & Yao, Shouyu, 2020. "Raising short-term debt for long-term investment and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    8. David S. Lee & Enrico Moretti & Matthew J. Butler, 2004. "Do Voters Affect or Elect Policies? Evidence from the U. S. House," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(3), pages 807-859.
    9. Wu, Chunying & Xiong, Xiong & Gao, Ya, 2021. "Performance comparisons between ETFs and traditional index funds: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    10. Xu, Nianhang & Li, Xiaorong & Yuan, Qingbo & Chan, Kam C., 2014. "Excess perks and stock price crash risk: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 419-434.
    11. Beneish, Messod D. & Gardner, John C., 1995. "Information Costs and Liquidity Effects from Changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average List," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(1), pages 135-157, March.
    12. Brad M. Barber & Terrance Odean, 2008. "All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 785-818, April.
    13. Harris, Lawrence E & Gurel, Eitan, 1986. "Price and Volume Effects Associated with Changes in the S&P 500 List: New Evidence for the Existence of Price Pressures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(4), pages 815-829, September.
    14. Green, T. Clifton & Jame, Russell, 2011. "Strategic trading by index funds and liquidity provision around S&P 500 index additions," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 605-624, November.
    15. Boycko, Maxim & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1996. "A Theory of Privatisation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 106(435), pages 309-319, March.
    16. Brisker, Eric R. & Çolak, Gönül & Peterson, David R., 2013. "Changes in cash holdings around the S&P 500 additions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1787-1807.
    17. John R. Becker‐Blease & Donna L. Paul, 2006. "Stock Liquidity and Investment Opportunities: Evidence from Index Additions," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(3), pages 35-51, September.
    18. Liu, Shinhua, 2006. "The impacts of index rebalancing and their implications: Some new evidence from Japan," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 246-269, July.
    19. Shleifer, Andrei, 1986. "Do Demand Curves for Stocks Slope Down?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(3), pages 579-590, July.
    20. John R. Becker-Blease & Donna L. Paul, 2006. "Stock Liquidity and Investment Opportunities: Evidence from Index Additions," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 35(3), Autumn.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yun, Jooyoung & Kim, Tong S., 2010. "The effect of changes in index constitution: Evidence from the Korean stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 258-269, September.
    2. Afego, Pyemo N., 2017. "Effects of changes in stock index compositions: A literature survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 228-239.
    3. Ernest N. Biktimirov & Yuanbin Xu, 2019. "Market reactions to changes in the Dow Jones industrial average index," International Journal of Managerial Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(5), pages 792-812, May.
    4. Chen, Haiwei & Ngo, Thanh, 2017. "Leverage-based index revisions: The case of Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 16-34.
    5. Ernest N. Biktimirov & Yuanbin Xu, 2019. "Asymmetric stock price and investor awareness reactions to changes in the Nasdaq 100 index," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(2), pages 134-145, March.
    6. Kot, Hung Wan & Leung, Harry K.M. & Tang, Gordon Y.N., 2015. "The long-term performance of index additions and deletions: Evidence from the Hang Seng Index," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 407-420.
    7. Mazouz, Khelifa & Daya, Wael & Yin, Shuxing, 2014. "Index revisions, systematic liquidity risk and the cost of equity capital," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 283-298.
    8. Wang, Chuan & Murgulov, Zoltan & Haman, Janto, 2015. "Impact of changes in the CSI 300 Index constituents," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 13-33.
    9. Khelifa Mazouz & Abdulkadir Mohamed & Brahim Saadouni, 2019. "Price Reaction of Ethically Screened Stocks: A Study of the Dow Jones Islamic Market World Index," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 154(3), pages 683-699, February.
    10. Prabhdeep Kaur & Jaspal Singh, 2021. "Impact of ETF Listing on the Returns Generated by Underlying Stocks: Indian Evidence," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 46(3), pages 263-288, August.
    11. Chan, Kalok & Kot, Hung Wan & Tang, Gordon Y.N., 2013. "A comprehensive long-term analysis of S&P 500 index additions and deletions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 4920-4930.
    12. Friedrich-Carl Franz, 2020. "Forecasting index changes in the German DAX family," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 135-153, March.
    13. Chu, Gang & Goodell, John W. & Li, Xiao & Zhang, Yongjie, 2021. "Long-term impacts of index reconstitutions: Evidence from the CSI 300 additions and deletions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Konstantina Kappou, 2018. "The diminished effect of index rebalances," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(4), pages 235-244, July.
    15. Peng, Cameron & Wang, Chen, 2021. "Factor demand and factor returns," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118884, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Akhigbe, Aigbe & Martin, Anna D. & Newman, Melinda & de Souza, Andre, 2022. "Russell index reconstitutions and short interest," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 577-588.
    17. Hacıbedel, Burcu, 2014. "Does investor recognition matter for asset pricing?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 1-20.
    18. Tseng, Yun-lan & Pan, Ging-ginq, 2024. "Do anticipated changes in the MSCI Taiwan index drive investor behavior?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 563-580.
    19. Abdul Rahman & Prabina Rajib, 2018. "Index Revisions, Stock Liquidity and the Cost of Equity Capital," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(4), pages 1072-1089, August.
    20. William B. Elliott & Bonnie F. Van Ness & Mark D. Walker & Richard S. Warr, 2006. "What Drives the S&P 500 Inclusion Effect? An Analytical Survey," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 35(4), pages 31-48, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pb:s1544612321004244. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.