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Risk-adjusted valuation in the worker's economic decision making

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  • Lee, Hangsuck
  • Ryu, Doojin
  • Son, Jihoon

Abstract

We suggest a risk-adjusted valuation approach for workers at retirement risk to make decisions in an overlapping generations economy. The risk-averse workers use greater weights than expected, so-called risk-adjusted probability, on their retirement cash flows to assess the residual lifetime income. This method can be consistently applied to value financial and non-financial assets, and on the risk-adjusted valuations, the workers will make optimal investments. To predict capital returns and economic variables, comparative statics will be numerically implemented via demographic structure, preference, and social security policy by aggregating workers’ decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Hangsuck & Ryu, Doojin & Son, Jihoon, 2022. "Risk-adjusted valuation in the worker's economic decision making," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pb:s1544612321004037
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102408
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krueger, Dirk & Ludwig, Alexander, 2007. "On the consequences of demographic change for rates of returns to capital, and the distribution of wealth and welfare," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 49-87, January.
    2. Gertler, Mark, 1999. "Government debt and social security in a life-cycle economy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 61-110, June.
    3. Blanchard, Olivier J, 1985. "Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(2), pages 223-247, April.
    4. Menahem E. Yaari, 1965. "Uncertain Lifetime, Life Insurance, and the Theory of the Consumer," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(2), pages 137-150.
    5. Auerbach, Alan J & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 1987. "Evaluating Fiscal Policy with a Dynamic Simulation Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(2), pages 49-55, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Hangsuck & Ryu, Doojin & Son, Jihoon, 2022. "Insurance-adjusted valuation, decision making, and capital return," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Son, Jaemin & Ryu, Doojin & Webb, Robert I., 2023. "Central bank digital currency: Payment choices and commercial bank profitability," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capital returns; Overlapping generations model; Risk-adjusted valuation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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