IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v40y2021ics1544612320309697.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The range of uncertainty on the property market pricing: The case of the city of Shanghai

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Jian
  • Shen, Yixuan
  • Pantelous, Athanasios A.
  • Zhang, Hui

Abstract

Property prices around the globe have seen very strong growth over the last two decades. Across various advanced countries, such a rapid and uncontrolled growth in house prices puts their economy in danger, and most importantly, their social integration and interconnectedness at great risk. In this paper, we develop a novel fuzzy linear regression framework using symmetric and asymmetric trapezoidal fuzzy numbers for determining the relationship of particular (non-) policy factors with the house prices. An interviewing questionnaire survey was conducted for collecting real data for the city of Shanghai to illustrate our theoretical treatment.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Jian & Shen, Yixuan & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Zhang, Hui, 2021. "The range of uncertainty on the property market pricing: The case of the city of Shanghai," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:40:y:2021:i:c:s1544612320309697
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101720
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612320309697
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101720?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaiji Chen & Yi Wen, 2017. "The Great Housing Boom of China," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 73-114, April.
    2. Campbell, John Y. & Cocco, Joao F., 2007. "How do house prices affect consumption? Evidence from micro data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 591-621, April.
    3. Yuanyuan Liu & Jian Zhou & Athanasios A. Pantelous, 2017. "Credibilistic risk aversion," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1135-1145, July.
    4. Smimou, K. & Bector, C.R. & Jacoby, G., 2007. "A subjective assessment of approximate probabilities with a portfolio application," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 134-160, June.
    5. Joachim Zietz & Emily Zietz & G. Sirmans, 2008. "Determinants of House Prices: A Quantile Regression Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(4), pages 317-333, November.
    6. Wang, Hsiao-Fan & Tsaur, Ruey-Chyn, 2000. "Resolution of fuzzy regression model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 637-650, November.
    7. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Riccardo Massari, 2013. "Weighted Least Squares and Least Median Squares estimation for the fuzzy linear regression analysis," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 71(3), pages 279-306, November.
    8. Smimou, K. & Bector, C.R. & Jacoby, G., 2008. "Portfolio selection subject to experts' judgments," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 1036-1054, December.
    9. Kim, Kwang Jae & Moskowitz, Herbert & Koksalan, Murat, 1996. "Fuzzy versus statistical linear regression," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 417-434, July.
    10. T. Allahviranloo & M. A. Jahantigh & S. Hajighasemi, 2013. "A New Distance Measure and Ranking Method for Generalized Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2013, pages 1-6, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Hung-Wei & Lin, Che-Chun & Tsai, I-Chun, 2023. "Another application of call options: Explaining the divergence between the housing market and the rental market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alfred Mbairadjim Moussa & Jules Sadefo Kamdem, 2022. "A fuzzy multifactor asset pricing model," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(2), pages 1221-1241, June.
    2. Pierpaolo D’Urso & Marta Disegna & Riccardo Massari, 2020. "Satisfaction and Tourism Expenditure Behaviour," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 149(3), pages 1081-1106, June.
    3. Wu, Hsien-Chung, 2003. "Fuzzy estimates of regression parameters in linear regression models for imprecise input and output data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(1-2), pages 203-217, February.
    4. Azadeh, A. & Saberi, M. & Seraj, O., 2010. "An integrated fuzzy regression algorithm for energy consumption estimation with non-stationary data: A case study of Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 2351-2366.
    5. Waxman, Andrew & Liang, Yuanning & Li, Shanjun & Barwick, Panle Jia & Zhao, Meng, 2020. "Tightening belts to buy a home: Consumption responses to rising housing prices in urban China," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    6. Fesselmeyer, Eric & Le, Kien T. & Seah, Kiat Ying, 2013. "Changes in the white–black house value distribution gap from 1997 to 2005," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 132-141.
    7. Jie Chen & William Hardin & Mingzhi Hu, 2020. "Housing, Wealth, Income and Consumption: China and Homeownership Heterogeneity," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 48(2), pages 373-405, June.
    8. Xiandeng Jiang & Zheng Pan & Ningru Zhao, 2023. "Relative Value vs Absolute Value: Housing Wealth and Labor Supply," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 41-76, January.
    9. Azadeh, A. & Khakestani, M. & Saberi, M., 2009. "A flexible fuzzy regression algorithm for forecasting oil consumption estimation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5567-5579, December.
    10. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen Miller & Stephen Pollard, 2012. "Unit Roots and Structural Change," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 49(4), pages 757-776, March.
    11. Azadeh, A. & Saberi, M. & Asadzadeh, S.M. & Khakestani, M., 2011. "A hybrid fuzzy mathematical programming-design of experiment framework for improvement of energy consumption estimation with small data sets and uncertainty: The cases of USA, Canada, Singapore, Pakis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 6981-6992.
    12. Luc Laeven & Alexander Popov, 2016. "A Lost Generation? Education Decisions and Employment Outcomes during the US Housing Boom-Bust Cycle of the 2000s," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 630-635, May.
    13. Michael F. Lovenheim & Kevin J. Mumford, 2010. "Do Family Wealth Shocks Affect Fertility Choices? Evidence from the Housing Market Boom and Bust," Purdue University Economics Working Papers 1228, Purdue University, Department of Economics.
    14. Aydilek, Asiye, 2016. "The allocation of time and puzzling profiles of the elderly," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 515-526.
    15. Trojanek, Radoslaw & Huderek-Glapska, Sonia, 2018. "Measuring the noise cost of aviation – The association between the Limited Use Area around Warsaw Chopin Airport and property values," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 103-114.
    16. Savignac, Frédérique & Arrondel, Luc & Lamarche, Pierre, 2015. "Wealth effects on consumption across the wealth distribution: empirical evidence," Working Paper Series 1817, European Central Bank.
    17. Ali Azadeh & Mohammad Sheikhalishahi & Ali Boostani, 2014. "A Flexible Neuro-Fuzzy Approach for Improvement of Seasonal Housing Price Estimation in Uncertain and Non-Linear Environments," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(4), pages 567-582, December.
    18. Brito Paulo & Marini Giancarlo & Piergallini Alessandro, 2016. "House prices and monetary policy," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 251-277, June.
    19. Janine Aron & John Muellbauer, 2006. "Housing Wealth, Credit Conditions and Consumption," CSAE Working Paper Series 2006-08, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
    20. Hoderlein, Stefan & White, Halbert, 2012. "Nonparametric identification in nonseparable panel data models with generalized fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 300-314.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    House prices; Bid-Ask spread; Fuzzy linear regression; Trapezoidal fuzzy numbers;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:40:y:2021:i:c:s1544612320309697. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.