IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v31y2019icp155-164.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysing the dynamic influence of US macroeconomic news releases on Turkish stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Ekinci, Cumhur
  • Akyildirim, Erdinc
  • Corbet, Shaen

Abstract

We investigate the effects of macroeconomic announcements made in the United States on trading activity of stocks listed in Borsa Istanbul. The influence of these releases on the selected variables are an important source of information for market participants. Results show a clear negative impact on weighted bid, ask and mid-prices in the five-minute period post-release. Available liquidity measured by pending orders in limit order book decreases with the news arrival. These results present implications for market dynamics and signal that liquidity consumption (through market orders) largely dominates liquidity provision (through limit orders) in the five-minute period following the release.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekinci, Cumhur & Akyildirim, Erdinc & Corbet, Shaen, 2019. "Analysing the dynamic influence of US macroeconomic news releases on Turkish stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 155-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:31:y:2019:i:c:p:155-164
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.021
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S154461231930128X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2019.04.021?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simpson, Marc W. & Ramchander, Sanjay & Chaudhry, Mukesh, 2005. "The impact of macroeconomic surprises on spot and forward foreign exchange markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 693-718, September.
    2. Jones, Charles M. & Lamont, Owen & Lumsdaine, Robin L., 1998. "Macroeconomic news and bond market volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 315-337, March.
    3. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.
    4. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2017. "Macro news and exchange rates in the BRICS," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 140-143.
    5. Lutz Kilian & Clara Vega, 2011. "Do Energy Prices Respond to U.S. Macroeconomic News? A Test of the Hypothesis of Predetermined Energy Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 93(2), pages 660-671, May.
    6. Savor, Pavel & Wilson, Mungo, 2013. "How Much Do Investors Care About Macroeconomic Risk? Evidence from Scheduled Economic Announcements," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(2), pages 343-375, April.
    7. Walid Ben Omrane & Christian Hafner, 2015. "Macroeconomic news surprises and volatility spillover in foreign exchange markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 577-607, March.
    8. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    9. Hussain, Syed Mujahid, 2011. "Simultaneous monetary policy announcements and international stock markets response: An intraday analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 752-764, March.
    10. Birz, Gene & Lott Jr., John R., 2011. "The effect of macroeconomic news on stock returns: New evidence from newspaper coverage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2791-2800, November.
    11. Erenburg, Grigori & Lasser, Dennis, 2009. "Electronic limit order book and order submission choice around macroeconomic news," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 172-182, October.
    12. Sensoy, Ahmet, 2016. "Commonality in liquidity: Effects of monetary policy and macroeconomic announcements," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 125-131.
    13. Shaen Corbet, 2014. "The Contagion Effects of Sovereign Downgrades: Evidence from the European Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 83-92.
    14. Ben Sita, Bernard, 2017. "Volatility patterns of the constituents of FTSE100 in the aftermath of the U.K. Brexit referendum," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 137-146.
    15. Fornari, Fabio & Monticelli, Carlo & Pericoli, Marcello & Tivegna, Massimo, 2002. "The impact of news on the exchange rate of the lira and long-term interest rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 611-639, August.
    16. Goodell, John W. & Vähämaa, Sami, 2013. "US presidential elections and implied volatility: The role of political uncertainty," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 1108-1117.
    17. Kari Harju & Syed Mujahid Hussain, 2011. "Intraday Seasonalities and Macroeconomic News Announcements," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(2), pages 367-390, March.
    18. Wasserfallen, Walter, 1989. "Macroeconomics news and the stock market: Evidence from Europe," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(4-5), pages 613-626, September.
    19. Ramchander, Sanjay & Simpson, Marc W. & Chaudhry, Mukesh K., 2005. "The influence of macroeconomic news on term and quality spreads," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 84-102, February.
    20. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian & Meegan, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "Cryptocurrency reaction to FOMC Announcements: Evidence of heterogeneity based on blockchain stack position," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    21. Hanousek, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kutan, Ali M., 2009. "The reaction of asset prices to macroeconomic announcements in new EU markets: Evidence from intraday data," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 199-219, June.
    22. Fang, Jianchun & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi-Keung Marco & Lu, Zhou, 2020. "The impact of Baidu Index sentiment on the volatility of China's stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    23. Christie-David, Rohan & Chaudhry, Mukesh & Koch, Timothy W., 2000. "Do macroeconomics news releases affect gold and silver prices?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(5), pages 405-421.
    24. Özatay, Fatih & Özmen, Erdal & Sahinbeyoglu, Gülbin, 2009. "Emerging market sovereign spreads, global financial conditions and U.S. macroeconomic news," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 526-531, March.
    25. Shen, Dehua & Li, Xiao & Zhang, Wei, 2017. "Baidu news coverage and its impacts on order imbalance and large-size trade of Chinese stocks," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 210-216.
    26. Nikkinen, Jussi & Sahlstrom, Petri, 2004. "Scheduled domestic and US macroeconomic news and stock valuation in Europe," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 201-215, July.
    27. Nikkinen, Jussi & Omran, Mohammed & Sahlstrom, Petri & Aijo, Janne, 2006. "Global stock market reactions to scheduled U.S. macroeconomic news announcements," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 92-104, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang & Hu, Yang & Lucey, Brian & Oxley, Les, 2021. "Aye Corona! The contagion effects of being named Corona during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    2. Zeynep Cobandag Guloglu & Cumhur Ekinci, 2022. "Liquidity measurement: A comparative review of the literature with a focus on high frequency," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1), pages 41-74, February.
    3. Hamza Almustafa & Imad Jabbouri & Ploypailin Kijkasiwat, 2023. "Economic Policy Uncertainty, Financial Leverage, and Corporate Investment: Evidence from U.S. Firms," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Priyanka Naik & Y. V. Reddy, 2021. "Stock Market Liquidity: A Literature Review," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440209, January.
    5. Emerson Abraham Jackson, 2021. "Forecasting COVID-19 Daily Contraction in Sierra Leone with Implications for Policy Formulation," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 29-43, January.
    6. Kyriazis, Nikolaos & Papadamou, Stephanos & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Can cryptocurrencies provide a viable hedging mechanism for benchmark index investors?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    7. Tarchella, Salma & Dhaoui, Abderrazak, 2021. "Chinese jigsaw: Solving the equity market response to the COVID-19 crisis: Do alternative asset provide effective hedging performance?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    8. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian, 2020. "The contagion effects of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from gold and cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Fabio Spagnolo & Nicola Spagnolo, 2017. "Macro News and Commodity Returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 68-80, January.
    2. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Pradhan, H.K. & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Sensoy, Ahmet & Dann, Susan, 2024. "Anatomy of sovereign yield behaviour using textual news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Henryk Gurgul & Jessica Hastenteufel & Tomasz Wójtowicz, 2021. "Changes in the impact of US macroeconomic news on financial markets the example of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Statistics in Transition New Series, Polish Statistical Association, vol. 22(4), pages 41-58, December.
    4. Gurgul Henryk & Hastenteufel Jessica & Wójtowicz Tomasz, 2021. "Changes in the impact of US macroeconomic news on financial markets the example of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Statistics in Transition New Series, Statistics Poland, vol. 22(4), pages 41-58, December.
    5. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš, 2019. "Central bank announcements and realized volatility of stock markets in G7 countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 117-135.
    6. Henryk Gurgul & Christoph Mitterer & Tomasz Wójtowicz, 2021. "The Impact of US Macroeconomic News on the Prices of Single Stocks on the Vienna Stock Exchange," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(3), pages 287-329, September.
    7. Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2022. "Scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and intraday market sentiment," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    8. Shogbuyi, Abiodun & Steeley, James M., 2017. "The effect of quantitative easing on the variance and covariance of the UK and US equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 281-291.
    9. David Büttner & Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2012. "The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 39(1), pages 19-44, February.
    10. Kam F. Chan & Philip Gray, 2018. "Volatility jumps and macroeconomic news announcements," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(8), pages 881-897, August.
    11. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2018. "Intraday effect of news on emerging European forex markets: An event study analysis," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 597-615.
    12. Yingli Wang & Xiaoguang Yang, 2018. "Asymmetric response to PMI announcements in China's stock returns," Papers 1806.04347, arXiv.org.
    13. Akhtar, Shumi & Akhtar, Farida & Jahromi, Maria & John, Kose, 2017. "Impact of interest rate surprises on Islamic and conventional stocks and bonds," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 218-231.
    14. Yingli Wang & Chang Lu & Xiaoguang Yang & Qingpeng Zhang, 2023. "Asymmetric responses to Purchasing Managers' Index announcements in China's stock returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 2937-2955, July.
    15. Ben Omrane, Walid & Hussain, Syed Mujahid, 2016. "Foreign news and the structure of co-movement in European equity markets: An intraday analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 572-582.
    16. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2016. "Macro news and stock returns in the Euro area: A VAR-GARCH-in-mean analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 180-188.
    17. Tarek Chebbi, 2021. "The response of precious metal futures markets to unconventional monetary surprises in the presence of uncertainty," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 1897-1916, April.
    18. GOK, Ibrahim Yasar & TOPUZ, Sefa, 2016. "The Impact Of The Domestic And Foreign Macroeconomic News Announcements On The Turkish Stock Market," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 20(3), pages 95-107.
    19. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    20. Dungey, Mardi & McKenzie, Michael & Smith, L. Vanessa, 2009. "Empirical evidence on jumps in the term structure of the US Treasury Market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 430-445, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    US macroeconomic announcements; Stocks; Liquidity; High-frequency data; Trading; Borsa Istanbul;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:31:y:2019:i:c:p:155-164. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.