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Analyst recommendations and volatility in a rising, falling, and crisis equity market

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  • Corbet, Shaen
  • Dowling, Michael
  • Cummins, Mark

Abstract

The impact of analyst recommendations on equity market volatility is examined for the Greek market. Building on prior research showing an asymmetric impact of recommendations in rising and falling markets, this study extends the investigation to three market states, through including a crisis market period for Greece. Sell recommendations are shown to increase volatility, while the influence of buy recommendations depends on market state. Importantly, the crisis market period shows a marked decrease in the explanatory power of the model. A comparison with the German market is provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Corbet, Shaen & Dowling, Michael & Cummins, Mark, 2015. "Analyst recommendations and volatility in a rising, falling, and crisis equity market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 187-194.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:15:y:2015:i:c:p:187-194
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.09.009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kontonikas, Alexandros & MacDonald, Ronald & Saggu, Aman, 2013. "Stock market reaction to fed funds rate surprises: State dependence and the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4025-4037.
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    3. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Kim, Woojin, 2006. "Value of analyst recommendations: International evidence," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 274-309, August.
    4. Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 1994. "Threshold heteroskedastic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 931-955, September.
    5. Torben W. Hendricks & Bernd Kempa & Christian Pierdzioch, 2012. "Do banks’ buy and sell recommendations influence stock market volatility? Evidence from the German DAX30," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(1), pages 29-39, January.
    6. Valentyn Panchenko, 2007. "Impact of Analysts' Recommendations on Stock Performance," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 165-179.
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    Cited by:

    1. Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang & Hu, Yang & Lucey, Brian & Oxley, Les, 2021. "Aye Corona! The contagion effects of being named Corona during the COVID-19 pandemic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    2. Lian, Yu-Min & Chen, Jun-Home, 2021. "Pricing virtual currency-linked derivatives with time-inhomogeneity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 424-439.
    3. Liyan Han & Xinbei Wei & Sen Yan & Qunzi Zhang, 2022. "Analyst rating matters for index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(11), pages 2084-2100, November.
    4. Vera Ivanyuk, 2021. "Modeling of Crisis Processes in the Financial Market," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, October.
    5. Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian, 2020. "The contagion effects of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from gold and cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analyst recommendations; Stock market volatility; Threshold GARCH; Greece; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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