IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finana/v92y2024ics1057521924000061.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Have the Chinese national oil companies paid too much in overseas asset acquisitions?

Author

Listed:
  • Mu, Xiaoyi

Abstract

This paper provides both a quantitative and qualitative analysis of whether the Chinese national oil companies have “overpaid” than their international counterparts in overseas asset acquisitions during 2001–2017. Using a hedonic pricing framework, we find that while the Chinese companies did not pay more than international oil companies for the period of 2001–2008, there is statistically significant evidence that they overpaid during the 2009–2016 period. A counterfactual analysis was conducted to quantify the extent of the overpayment. Interviews and qualitative analysis suggest that the overpayment mainly results from a rush to gain projects in a period of high oil prices and easier bank loans after the global financial crisis rather than concerns about energy security or other political considerations.

Suggested Citation

  • Mu, Xiaoyi, 2024. "Have the Chinese national oil companies paid too much in overseas asset acquisitions?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:92:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924000061
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103074
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1057521924000061
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103074?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qiangyu Wang and Gavin Kretzschmar, 2019. "China vs. The Rest: A New Era of Global Energy Dealmaking," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(The New E).
    2. Ian Taylor, 2014. "Emerging powers, state capitalism and the oil sector in Africa," Review of African Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(141), pages 341-357, September.
    3. Shi, Min, 2019. "Overinvestment and corporate governance in energy listed companies: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 436-445.
    4. Athreye, Suma & Saeed, Abubakr & Baloch, Muhammad Saad, 2021. "Financial crisis of 2008 and outward foreign investments from China and India," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(3).
    5. Adelman, M.A. & Watkins, G.C., 2005. "U.S. oil and natural gas reserve prices, 1982-2003," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 553-571, July.
    6. James L. Smith, 2015. "Valuing Barrels of Oil Equivalent," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Adelman S).
    7. Zhang, ZhongXiang, 2012. "The overseas acquisitions and equity oil shares of Chinese national oil companies: A threat to the West but a boost to China's energy security?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 698-701.
    8. Gopalakrishnan, Sathya & Smith, Martin D. & Slott, Jordan M. & Murray, A. Brad, 2011. "The value of disappearing beaches: A hedonic pricing model with endogenous beach width," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 297-310, May.
    9. Adam William Chalmers & Susanna Theresia Mocker, 2017. "The end of exceptionalism? Explaining Chinese National Oil Companies’ overseas investments," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 119-143, January.
    10. K. J. Martijn Cremers & Vinay B. Nair, 2005. "Governance Mechanisms and Equity Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 60(6), pages 2859-2894, December.
    11. Berry, Steven & Levinsohn, James & Pakes, Ariel, 1995. "Automobile Prices in Market Equilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 63(4), pages 841-890, July.
    12. Gerhard Toews & Alexander Naumov, 2015. "The Relationship Between Oil Price and Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry," Economics Series Working Papers OxCarre Research Paper 15, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    13. Davis, Graham A & Cairns, Robert D, 1999. "Valuing Petroleum Reserves Using Current Net Price," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(2), pages 295-311, April.
    14. Gerhard Toews and Alexander Naumov, 2015. "The Relationship Between Oil Price and Costs in the Oil Industry," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Adelman S).
    15. Liu, Qigui & Pan, Xiaofei & Tian, Gary Gang, 2018. "To what extent did the economic stimulus package influence bank lending and corporate investment decisions? Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 177-193.
    16. Shahid, Muhammad Sadiq & Abbas, Muhammad, 2019. "Does corporate governance play any role in investor confidence, corporate investment decisions relationship? Evidence from Pakistan and India," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    17. Robert D. Cairns & Graham A. Davis, 2001. "Adelman's Rule and the Petroleum Firm," The Energy Journal, , vol. 22(3), pages 31-54, July.
    18. Alexander Naumov, 2015. "The Relationship Between Oil Price and Costs," OxCarre Working Papers 152, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    19. John E. Core & Wayne R. Guay & Tjomme O. Rusticus, 2006. "Does Weak Governance Cause Weak Stock Returns? An Examination of Firm Operating Performance and Investors' Expectations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 655-687, April.
    20. Guthrie, Graeme, 2009. "Real Options in Theory and Practice," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195380637.
    21. Xiaoyi Mu & Haichun Ye, 2018. "Towards an Integrated Spot LNG Market: An Interim Assessment," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    22. Bi, XiaoGang, 2021. "The Communist Party Committee and corporate takeovers," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    23. Zhao, Yong & Shi, Xunpeng & Song, Feng, 2020. "Has Chinese outward foreign direct investment in energy enhanced China's energy security?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    24. Paul Chwelos, 2003. "Approaches to performance measurement in hedonic analysis: Price indexes for laptop computers in the 1990's," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 199-224.
    25. Peter J Buckley & L Jeremy Clegg & Adam R Cross & Xin Liu & Hinrich Voss & Ping Zheng, 2007. "The determinants of Chinese outward foreign direct investment," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 38(4), pages 499-518, July.
    26. James L. Paddock & Daniel R. Siegel & James L. Smith, 1988. "Option Valuation of Claims on Real Assets: The Case of Offshore Petroleum Leases," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 103(3), pages 479-508.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Girard, Victoire & Kudebayeva, Alma & Toews, Gerhard, 2020. "Inflated Expectations and Commodity Prices: Evidence from Kazakhstan," GLO Discussion Paper Series 469, Global Labor Organization (GLO), revised 2020.
    2. Ansari, Dawud, 2017. "OPEC, Saudi Arabia, and the shale revolution: Insights from equilibrium modelling and oil politics," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 111, pages 166-178.
    3. Smith, James L. & Lee, Thomas K., 2017. "The price elasticity of U.S. shale oil reserves," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 121-135.
    4. Philippe Le Billon & Berit Kristoffersen, 2020. "Just cuts for fossil fuels? Supply-side carbon constraints and energy transition," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 52(6), pages 1072-1092, September.
    5. Malova, Aleksandra & van der Ploeg, Frederick, 2017. "Consequences of lower oil prices and stranded assets for Russia's sustainable fiscal stance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 27-40.
    6. Cust,James Frederick & Rivera Ballesteros,Alexis & Zeufack,Albert G., 2022. "The Dog that Didn’t Bark : The Missed Opportunity of Africa’s Resource Boom," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10120, The World Bank.
    7. Khalifa, Ahmed & Caporin, Massimiliano & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "The relationship between oil prices and rig counts: The importance of lags," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 213-226.
    8. Pedro Moreno Alonso & Antonio Mu oz San Roque, 2021. "Oil Costs and Prices: An Empirical Causality Analysis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 546-554.
    9. Leach, Andrew & Mason, Charles F. & Veld, Klaas van ‘t, 2011. "Co-optimization of enhanced oil recovery and carbon sequestration," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 893-912.
    10. Xing Zhou & Quan Guo & Ming Zhang, 2021. "Impacts of OFDI on Host Country Energy Consumption and Home Country Energy Efficiency Based on a Belt and Road Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, November.
    11. Zeineb Barka & Taher Hamza, 2020. "The effect of large controlling shareholders on equity prices in France: monitoring or entrenchment?," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 24(3), pages 769-798, September.
    12. Satoshi Nakano & Kazuhiko Nishimura, 2013. "Welfare gain from quality and price development in the Japan’s LCD TV market," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 889-908, September.
    13. Larcker, David F. & Ormazabal, Gaizka & Taylor, Daniel J., 2011. "The market reaction to corporate governance regulation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 431-448, August.
    14. Guo, Re-Jin & Kruse, Timothy A. & Nohel, Tom, 2008. "Undoing the powerful anti-takeover force of staggered boards," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 274-288, June.
    15. Drobetz, W. & Momtaz, Paul P., 2020. "Antitakeover Provisions and Firm Value: New Evidence from the M&A Market," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    16. Klaus Mohn, 2019. "Arctic Oil and Public Finance: Norway’s Lofoten Region and Beyond," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(3), pages 199-226, May.
    17. Klaiber, H. Allen, 2014. "Migration and household adaptation to climate: A review of empirical research," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 539-547.
    18. Mueller, Holger & Giroud, Xavier, 2008. "Corporate Governance, Product Market Competition, and Equity Prices," CEPR Discussion Papers 6974, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    19. Smith, James L., 2014. "A parsimonious model of tax avoidance and distortions in petroleum exploration and development," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 140-157.
    20. Hussain, Tanveer & Loureiro, Gilberto, 2022. "Portability of firm corporate governance in mergers and acquisitions," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; National oil companies; Exceptionalism; Reserve valuation; Outward direct investment; Asset acquisition; Corporate governance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:92:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924000061. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620166 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.