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Time-varying linkages between energy and stock markets: Dynamic spillovers and driving factors

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  • Feng, Huiqun
  • Zhang, Jun
  • Guo, Na

Abstract

Integration between international energy prices and stock market returns is critical for global economics and politics. In this study, we employ a TVP-VAR (time-varying parameter vector autoregression) connectedness decomposition approach to investigate the time-varying linkages between a diversified energy portfolio comprising oil, coal, natural gas, and stock returns in G7 countries and China. This approach allows us to show the dynamic spillovers and explore the driving factors underlying the dynamic patterns. We find that geopolitical risks, global economic policy uncertainties, and equity market volatility can influence cross-market spillovers. This study expounds the effect of energy financialization.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng, Huiqun & Zhang, Jun & Guo, Na, 2023. "Time-varying linkages between energy and stock markets: Dynamic spillovers and driving factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:89:y:2023:i:c:s1057521923002302
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102714
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    3. Qin, Yun & Zhang, Zitao, 2024. "Transmission mechanisms of the effects of geopolitical risk on energy returns and volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PA).
    4. Wang, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jiaojiao & Wang, Wenhuan & Zhang, Shuquan, 2023. "International and Chinese energy markets: Dynamic spillover effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic spillovers; Energy market; Stock market; TVP-VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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