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Momentum and default risk. Some results using the jump component

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  • González-Urteaga, Ana
  • Muga, Luis
  • Santamaria, Rafael

Abstract

In this paper we separate the total stock return into its continuous and jump component to test whether stock return predictability should be attributed to omitted risk factors or behavioral finance theories. We extend results from the US market to the Spanish stock market, which, despite being a developed market, presents several differences in terms of stock characteristics, financial system, investor typology and cultural dimensions. The results show that the jump component has significant explanatory power for the premium of three characteristics (size, book-to-market and illiquidity), which is at odds with risk-based explanations. Using the same testing strategy, we try to shed some light on an important controversy concerning the relationship between default risk and momentum. The results suggest that default risk is not the source of momentum returns.

Suggested Citation

  • González-Urteaga, Ana & Muga, Luis & Santamaria, Rafael, 2015. "Momentum and default risk. Some results using the jump component," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 185-193.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:40:y:2015:i:c:p:185-193
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.05.017
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    1. Lavička, H. & Lichard, T. & Novotný, J., 2016. "Sand in the wheels or wheels in the sand? Tobin taxes and market crashes," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 328-342.
    2. Song, Yuping & Huang, Jiefei & Zhang, Qichao & Xu, Yang, 2024. "Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Jumps; Momentum; Default risk; Behavioral finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General

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