IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v290y2024ics0360544223035430.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting the electric power consumption of office buildings based on dynamic and static hybrid data analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Zou, Rongwei
  • Yang, Qiliang
  • Xing, Jianchun
  • Zhou, Qizhen
  • Xie, Liqiang
  • Chen, Wenjie

Abstract

Currently, building energy consumption accounts for a considerable proportion of the world's energy consumption, e.g., 35 % in China, which has become a key concern with its rising proportion. Accurate prediction of building hourly energy consumption is key to realizing green, low-carbon, and energy-saving modern buildings. However, most of the current prediction methods are only based on dynamic data from IoT (Internet of Things) systems that may contain a large number of outliers, resulting in lower accuracy and reliability. To solve this problem, with the help of rich data provided by BIM (Building Information Modelling), we propose an approach named dynamic and static hybrid data analysis (D&S-HDA) that can provide a solution with better prediction accuracy. Technically, the novelties of D&S-HDA are fourfold. Firstly, we establish the D&S-HDA framework to obtain more accurate prediction outcomes, where the electricity consumption prediction results based on dynamic data analysis are weighted with the estimation values based on static data analysis. Secondly, in the dimension of dynamic data analysis, we design an improved temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) for parallelly outputting dynamic data samples to make the prediction results more intuitive. Thirdly, in the dimension of static data analysis, a novel concept of building hourly power consumption coefficient(BHPCC) is proposed, and its calculation method using static data analysis is designed to estimate hourly electricity consumption. Finally, in order to validate the effectiveness of our D&S-HDA approach, we design multidimensional evaluation metrics and conduct multi-group comparative experiments under different conditions, including climate models, electricity usage behaviour and time scales. The experimental results reveal that the proposed D&S-HDA approach outperforms current mainstream works in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), with values of 1.5248, 1.0693 and 2.9505, respectively, which shows the efficiency and feasibility of the proposed D&S-HDA.

Suggested Citation

  • Zou, Rongwei & Yang, Qiliang & Xing, Jianchun & Zhou, Qizhen & Xie, Liqiang & Chen, Wenjie, 2024. "Predicting the electric power consumption of office buildings based on dynamic and static hybrid data analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:290:y:2024:i:c:s0360544223035430
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.130149
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223035430
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.130149?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "A short-term building cooling load prediction method using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 222-233.
    2. Chitalia, Gopal & Pipattanasomporn, Manisa & Garg, Vishal & Rahman, Saifur, 2020. "Robust short-term electrical load forecasting framework for commercial buildings using deep recurrent neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    3. Biswas, M.A. Rafe & Robinson, Melvin D. & Fumo, Nelson, 2016. "Prediction of residential building energy consumption: A neural network approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 117(P1), pages 84-92.
    4. Somu, Nivethitha & M R, Gauthama Raman & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2020. "A hybrid model for building energy consumption forecasting using long short term memory networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    5. Shailendra Singh & Abdulsalam Yassine, 2018. "Big Data Mining of Energy Time Series for Behavioral Analytics and Energy Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-26, February.
    6. Rahman, Aowabin & Srikumar, Vivek & Smith, Amanda D., 2018. "Predicting electricity consumption for commercial and residential buildings using deep recurrent neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 372-385.
    7. Bedi, Jatin & Toshniwal, Durga, 2019. "Deep learning framework to forecast electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1312-1326.
    8. Wang, Wei & Hong, Tianzhen & Xu, Xiaodong & Chen, Jiayu & Liu, Ziang & Xu, Ning, 2019. "Forecasting district-scale energy dynamics through integrating building network and long short-term memory learning algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 217-230.
    9. Amasyali, Kadir & El-Gohary, Nora M., 2018. "A review of data-driven building energy consumption prediction studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1192-1205.
    10. Fan, Cheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Gang, Wenjie & Li, Shenghan, 2019. "Assessment of deep recurrent neural network-based strategies for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 700-710.
    11. Naji, Sareh & Keivani, Afram & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Alengaram, U. Johnson & Jumaat, Mohd Zamin & Mansor, Zulkefli & Lee, Malrey, 2016. "Estimating building energy consumption using extreme learning machine method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 506-516.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    2. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "A graph mining-based methodology for discovering and visualizing high-level knowledge for building energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    3. Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Luo, X.J. & Oyedele, Lukumon O. & Ajayi, Anuoluwapo O. & Akinade, Olugbenga O. & Owolabi, Hakeem A. & Ahmed, Ashraf, 2020. "Feature extraction and genetic algorithm enhanced adaptive deep neural network for energy consumption prediction in buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    5. Wang, Ran & Lu, Shilei & Feng, Wei, 2020. "A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    6. Jiang, Ben & Li, Yu & Rezgui, Yacine & Zhang, Chengyu & Wang, Peng & Zhao, Tianyi, 2024. "Multi-source domain generalization deep neural network model for predicting energy consumption in multiple office buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    7. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Yan, Chengchu & Liu, Chengliang & Li, Zhengdao & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "A novel methodology to explain and evaluate data-driven building energy performance models based on interpretable machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1551-1560.
    8. Li, Guannan & Wu, Yubei & Yoon, Sungmin & Fang, Xi, 2024. "Comprehensive transferability assessment of short-term cross-building-energy prediction using deep adversarial network transfer learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    9. Haizhou Fang & Hongwei Tan & Ningfang Dai & Zhaohui Liu & Risto Kosonen, 2023. "Hourly Building Energy Consumption Prediction Using a Training Sample Selection Method Based on Key Feature Search," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, May.
    10. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    11. Wang, Zeyu & Liu, Jian & Zhang, Yuanxin & Yuan, Hongping & Zhang, Ruixue & Srinivasan, Ravi S., 2021. "Practical issues in implementing machine-learning models for building energy efficiency: Moving beyond obstacles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    12. Ding, Zhikun & Chen, Weilin & Hu, Ting & Xu, Xiaoxiao, 2021. "Evolutionary double attention-based long short-term memory model for building energy prediction: Case study of a green building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    13. Kamel, Ehsan & Sheikh, Shaya & Huang, Xueqing, 2020. "Data-driven predictive models for residential building energy use based on the segregation of heating and cooling days," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    14. Yun Duan, 2022. "A Novel Interval Energy-Forecasting Method for Sustainable Building Management Based on Deep Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.
    15. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Zhao, Yang & Song, Mengjie & Wang, Jiayuan, 2019. "Deep learning-based feature engineering methods for improved building energy prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 35-45.
    16. Liu, Che & Sun, Bo & Zhang, Chenghui & Li, Fan, 2020. "A hybrid prediction model for residential electricity consumption using holt-winters and extreme learning machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    17. Fan, Cheng & Sun, Yongjun & Xiao, Fu & Ma, Jie & Lee, Dasheng & Wang, Jiayuan & Tseng, Yen Chieh, 2020. "Statistical investigations of transfer learning-based methodology for short-term building energy predictions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    18. Ahmad, Tanveer & Chen, Huanxin, 2018. "Potential of three variant machine-learning models for forecasting district level medium-term and long-term energy demand in smart grid environment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1008-1020.
    19. Hyunsoo Kim & Jiseok Jeong & Changwan Kim, 2022. "Daily Peak-Electricity-Demand Forecasting Based on Residual Long Short-Term Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-17, November.
    20. Khan, Zulfiqar Ahmad & Khan, Shabbir Ahmad & Hussain, Tanveer & Baik, Sung Wook, 2024. "DSPM: Dual sequence prediction model for efficient energy management in micro-grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:290:y:2024:i:c:s0360544223035430. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.