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A novel hybrid scheme for remaining useful life prognostic based on secondary decomposition, BiGRU and error correction

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  • Zhu, Ting
  • Wang, Wenbo
  • Yu, Min

Abstract

Accurate prognostic for the remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is extremely crucial to the stable operation and timely maintenance of a battery system. Nevertheless, battery lifespan is difficult to measure due to the capacity regeneration in non-linear and unstable degradation trend. To increase the prediction accuracy, the Time Varying Filter-based Empirical Mode Decomposition (TVF-EMD) is innovatively introduced to decompose the original capacity data into subseries. Meanwhile, the complexities of the subseries are measured by the Box-counting dimension (BCD). Moreover, Fast Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (FEEMD) is exploited to further decompose the most complex subseries. Additionally, Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) is established for (sub-)subseries prognosis. The prediction performance is further strengthened by an error correction method (ECM). Eventually, the effectiveness of the proposed prognosis framework is verified on two battery datasets. The experimental results illustrate that the maximum root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the proposed hybrid framework are merely 1.917, 0.434 and 0.706% respectively. Compared with two decomposition methods, MAE can be reduced by at least 22.73%, and a reduction of not less than 7.4% in RMSE is achieved.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhu, Ting & Wang, Wenbo & Yu, Min, 2023. "A novel hybrid scheme for remaining useful life prognostic based on secondary decomposition, BiGRU and error correction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:276:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223009593
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.127565
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