IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v254y2022ipbs036054422201194x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Towards long-period operational reliability of independent microgrid: A risk-aware energy scheduling and stochastic optimization method

Author

Listed:
  • Liu, Yixin
  • Shi, Haoqi
  • Guo, Li
  • Xu, Tao
  • Zhao, Bo
  • Wang, Chengshan

Abstract

Independent microgrids (MGs) consisting of diesel generator (DG), photovoltaic (PV), and energy storage system (ESS) are becoming a cost effective solution for the power supply in remote areas. However, besides PV intermittence, limited reserve and time-consuming replenishment of diesel fuel in remote areas make it challenging to guarantee long-period reliable power supply. In this paper, a risk-aware energy scheduling and stochastic optimization method is proposed to enhance long-period operational reliability of independent MGs. The possible extreme scenarios in the future are considered in an energy scheduling optimization model (ESOM). Based on energy forecast results of PV and loads for the next 7 days, ESOM maximizes the reliable power supply probability by optimizing energy scheduling strategies and reserve requirement for future operational risk simultaneously. Subsequently, a day-ahead stochastic optimization model is established to determine optimal power scheduling strategies of DG, PV, ESS, and flexible loads. The conditional value at risk (CVaR) is used to address the operation risk caused by uncertainties of PV and loads. Compared with traditional day-ahead optimization methods by numerous simulations, the proposed method has less expected load losses and PV curtailment, as well as less total supply-demand deviation. The resistance for future operational risks of independent MGs is therefore significantly enhanced.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Yixin & Shi, Haoqi & Guo, Li & Xu, Tao & Zhao, Bo & Wang, Chengshan, 2022. "Towards long-period operational reliability of independent microgrid: A risk-aware energy scheduling and stochastic optimization method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:254:y:2022:i:pb:s036054422201194x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.124291
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S036054422201194X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2022.124291?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhang, Yan & Fu, Lijun & Zhu, Wanlu & Bao, Xianqiang & Liu, Cang, 2018. "Robust model predictive control for optimal energy management of island microgrids with uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1229-1241.
    2. Obara, Shin'ya & Hamanaka, Ryo & El-Sayed, Abeer Galal, 2019. "Design methods for microgrids to address seasonal energy availability – A case study of proposed Showa Antarctic Station retrofits," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 711-727.
    3. Shang, Yuwei & Wu, Wenchuan & Guo, Jianbo & Ma, Zhao & Sheng, Wanxing & Lv, Zhe & Fu, Chenran, 2020. "Stochastic dispatch of energy storage in microgrids: An augmented reinforcement learning approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    4. Wang, Han & Han, Shuang & Liu, Yongqian & Yan, Jie & Li, Li, 2019. "Sequence transfer correction algorithm for numerical weather prediction wind speed and its application in a wind power forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 1-10.
    5. Hossain, Md Alamgir & Pota, Hemanshu Roy & Squartini, Stefano & Abdou, Ahmed Fathi, 2019. "Modified PSO algorithm for real-time energy management in grid-connected microgrids," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 746-757.
    6. Kofinas, P. & Dounis, A.I. & Vouros, G.A., 2018. "Fuzzy Q-Learning for multi-agent decentralized energy management in microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C), pages 53-67.
    7. Ravindra, Kumudhini & Iyer, Parameshwar P., 2014. "Decentralized demand–supply matching using community microgrids and consumer demand response: A scenario analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 32-41.
    8. Skalyga, Mikhail & Wu, Qiuwei & Zhang, Menglin, 2021. "Uncertainty-fully-aware coordinated dispatch of integrated electricity and heat system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    9. Mehdizadeh, Ali & Taghizadegan, Navid & Salehi, Javad, 2018. "Risk-based energy management of renewable-based microgrid using information gap decision theory in the presence of peak load management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 617-630.
    10. Hong, Tao & Fan, Shu, 2016. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 914-938.
    11. Yin, Wansi & Han, Yutong & Zhou, Hai & Ma, Ming & Li, Li & Zhu, Honglu, 2020. "A novel non-iterative correction method for short-term photovoltaic power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 23-32.
    12. Nelson, James & Johnson, Nathan G. & Fahy, Kelsey & Hansen, Timothy A., 2020. "Statistical development of microgrid resilience during islanding operations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    13. Tabar, Vahid Sohrabi & Jirdehi, Mehdi Ahmadi & Hemmati, Reza, 2017. "Energy management in microgrid based on the multi objective stochastic programming incorporating portable renewable energy resource as demand response option," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 827-839.
    14. Liu, Yixin & Guo, Li & Wang, Chengshan, 2018. "A robust operation-based scheduling optimization for smart distribution networks with multi-microgrids," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 130-140.
    15. Roslan, M.F. & Hannan, M.A. & Jern Ker, Pin & Begum, R.A. & Indra Mahlia, TM & Dong, Z.Y., 2021. "Scheduling controller for microgrids energy management system using optimization algorithm in achieving cost saving and emission reduction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yan, Yi & Wang, Xuerui & Li, Ke & Li, Chengdong & Tian, Chongyi & Shao, Zhuliang & Li, Ji, 2024. "Stochastic optimisation of district integrated energy systems based on a hybrid probability forecasting model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    2. He, Xinran & Ding, Tao & Zhang, Xiaosheng & Huang, Yuhan & Li, Li & Zhang, Qinglei & Li, Fangxing, 2023. "A robust reliability evaluation model with sequential acceleration method for power systems considering renewable energy temporal-spatial correlation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    3. Alrobaian, Abdulrahman A. & Alsagri, Ali Sulaiman, 2023. "Multi-agent-based energy management for a fully electrified residential consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    4. Yan, Sizhe & Wang, Weiqing & Li, Xiaozhu & Zhao, Yi, 2022. "Research on a cross-regional robust trading strategy based on multiple market mechanisms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    5. Yang, Yuyan & Xu, Xiao & Luo, Yichen & Xu, Lixiong & Liu, Junyong & Hu, Weihao, 2024. "Human-safe and economic operation of renewable hydrogen-based microgrids under plateau conditions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nyong-Bassey, Bassey Etim & Giaouris, Damian & Patsios, Charalampos & Papadopoulou, Simira & Papadopoulos, Athanasios I. & Walker, Sara & Voutetakis, Spyros & Seferlis, Panos & Gadoue, Shady, 2020. "Reinforcement learning based adaptive power pinch analysis for energy management of stand-alone hybrid energy storage systems considering uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    2. Omar Al-Ani & Sanjoy Das, 2022. "Reinforcement Learning: Theory and Applications in HEMS," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-37, September.
    3. Chen, Pengzhan & Liu, Mengchao & Chen, Chuanxi & Shang, Xin, 2019. "A battery management strategy in microgrid for personalized customer requirements," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Mohseni, Soheil & Brent, Alan C. & Kelly, Scott & Browne, Will N., 2022. "Demand response-integrated investment and operational planning of renewable and sustainable energy systems considering forecast uncertainties: A systematic review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. S. M. Mahfuz Alam & Mohd. Hasan Ali, 2020. "Equation Based New Methods for Residential Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Shahryari, E. & Shayeghi, H. & Mohammadi-ivatloo, B. & Moradzadeh, M., 2019. "A copula-based method to consider uncertainties for multi-objective energy management of microgrid in presence of demand response," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 879-890.
    7. Álex Omar Topa Gavilema & José Domingo Álvarez & José Luis Torres Moreno & Manuel Pérez García, 2021. "Towards Optimal Management in Microgrids: An Overview," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-25, August.
    8. Dong, Lei & Lin, Hao & Qiao, Ji & Zhang, Tao & Zhang, Shiming & Pu, Tianjiao, 2024. "A coordinated active and reactive power optimization approach for multi-microgrids connected to distribution networks with multi-actor-attention-critic deep reinforcement learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
    9. Li, Sichen & Hu, Weihao & Cao, Di & Chen, Zhe & Huang, Qi & Blaabjerg, Frede & Liao, Kaiji, 2023. "Physics-model-free heat-electricity energy management of multiple microgrids based on surrogate model-enabled multi-agent deep reinforcement learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
    10. Nawaz, Arshad & Zhou, Min & Wu, Jing & Long, Chengnian, 2022. "A comprehensive review on energy management, demand response, and coordination schemes utilization in multi-microgrids network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    11. Hyung-Joon Kim & Mun-Kyeom Kim, 2019. "Multi-Objective Based Optimal Energy Management of Grid-Connected Microgrid Considering Advanced Demand Response," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-28, October.
    12. Zhu, Junjie & Huang, Shengjun & Liu, Yajie & Lei, Hongtao & Sang, Bo, 2021. "Optimal energy management for grid-connected microgrids via expected-scenario-oriented robust optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    13. Md Shafiullah & Akib Mostabe Refat & Md Ershadul Haque & Dewan Mabrur Hasan Chowdhury & Md Sanower Hossain & Abdullah G. Alharbi & Md Shafiul Alam & Amjad Ali & Shorab Hossain, 2022. "Review of Recent Developments in Microgrid Energy Management Strategies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-30, November.
    14. Àlex Alonso-Travesset & Helena Martín & Sergio Coronas & Jordi de la Hoz, 2022. "Optimization Models under Uncertainty in Distributed Generation Systems: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-40, March.
    15. Totaro, Simone & Boukas, Ioannis & Jonsson, Anders & Cornélusse, Bertrand, 2021. "Lifelong control of off-grid microgrid with model-based reinforcement learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    16. Wang, Yi & Qiu, Dawei & Strbac, Goran, 2022. "Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning for resilience-driven routing and scheduling of mobile energy storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    17. Gui, Yonghao & Wei, Baoze & Li, Mingshen & Guerrero, Josep M. & Vasquez, Juan C., 2018. "Passivity-based coordinated control for islanded AC microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 551-561.
    18. Niematallah Elamin & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2016. "A Quantile Regression Model for Electricity Peak Demand Forecasting: An Approach to Avoiding Power Blackouts," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 16-22, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    19. Osório, G.J. & Lujano-Rojas, J.M. & Matias, J.C.O. & Catalão, J.P.S., 2015. "A probabilistic approach to solve the economic dispatch problem with intermittent renewable energy sources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 949-959.
    20. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Ali, Mohammad M. & Hong, Tao & Hyndman, Rob J. & Porter, Michael D. & Syntetos, Aris, 2022. "Forecasting for social good," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1245-1257.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:254:y:2022:i:pb:s036054422201194x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.