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Stochastic assessment of investment efficiency in a power system

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  • Davidov, Sreten
  • Pantoš, Miloš

Abstract

The assessment of investment efficiency plays a critical role in investment prioritization in the context of electrical network expansion planning. Hence, this paper proposes new criteria for the cost-efficiency investment applied in the investment ranking process in electrical network planning, based on the assessment of the new investment candidates impact on active-power losses, bus voltages and line loadings in the network. These three general criteria are chosen due to their strong economic influence when the active-power losses and line loadings are considered and due to their significant impact on quality of supply allowed for the voltage profile. Electrical network reliability of supply is not addressed, since, this criterion has already been extensively applied in other solutions regarding investment efficiency assessment. The proposed ranking procedure involves a stochastic approach applying the Monte Carlo method in the scenario preparation. The number of scenarios is further reduced by the K-MEANS procedure in order to speed up the investment efficiency assessment. The proposed ranking procedure is tested using the standard New England test system. The results show that based on the newly involved investment assessment criteria indices, system operators will obtain a prioritized list of investments that will prevent excessive and economically wasteful spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Davidov, Sreten & Pantoš, Miloš, 2017. "Stochastic assessment of investment efficiency in a power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 1047-1056.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:119:y:2017:i:c:p:1047-1056
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.11.036
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wu, F.F & Zheng, F.L. & Wen, F.S., 2006. "Transmission investment and expansion planning in a restructured electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 954-966.
    2. Božič, Dušan & Pantoš, Miloš, 2013. "Assessment of investment efficiency in a power system under performance-based regulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 330-338.
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