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EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios

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  • Krause, Jette
  • Thiel, Christian
  • Tsokolis, Dimitrios
  • Samaras, Zissis
  • Rota, Christian
  • Ward, Andy
  • Prenninger, Peter
  • Coosemans, Thierry
  • Neugebauer, Stephan
  • Verhoeve, Wim

Abstract

To inform long-term policies on transport decarbonisation, the present paper analyses European road transport CO2 emission reduction options by 2050. The investigation focusses on measures improving tank to wheel vehicle efficiency, but takes into account upstream emissions of electric vehicles. Measures for vehicle efficiency improvement, transport smoothing, and transport reduction, as well as possible 2050 road vehicle fleet compositions have been quantified through expert group discussion and combined with fleet impact modelling to calculate scenario results.

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  • Krause, Jette & Thiel, Christian & Tsokolis, Dimitrios & Samaras, Zissis & Rota, Christian & Ward, Andy & Prenninger, Peter & Coosemans, Thierry & Neugebauer, Stephan & Verhoeve, Wim, 2020. "EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:138:y:2020:i:c:s0301421519308067
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2019.111224
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