IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v318y2024i1p87-99.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Product portfolio adjustments and the bullwhip effect: The impact of product introduction and retirement

Author

Listed:
  • Jalali, Hamed
  • Menezes, Mozart B.C.

Abstract

Many manufacturers frequently tweak their product portfolios by introducing new products and retiring low performers. In this paper, we study how the demand shock caused by portfolio adjustments impacts the bullwhip effect (BWE) of existing products. With the help of two approximations, we provide a closed-form expression for the BWE as a function of the time (number of periods) remaining until the shock, which enables us to obtain novel insights. When products are retired, the market share of the remaining product varieties often increases. We prove that the product experiencing the most significant market share increase also encounters the highest BWE surge in the periods leading up to the portfolio change. On the other hand, the introduction of new products does not consistently lead to a higher BWE for existing products. The impact on the BWE depends on several parameters, particularly the uncertainty surrounding the market share of existing products after the portfolio change. When this uncertainty is low for an existing product, its BWE reduces when new varieties are introduced.

Suggested Citation

  • Jalali, Hamed & Menezes, Mozart B.C., 2024. "Product portfolio adjustments and the bullwhip effect: The impact of product introduction and retirement," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(1), pages 87-99.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:318:y:2024:i:1:p:87-99
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.04.035
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221724003369
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2024.04.035?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nagaraja, Chaitra H. & McElroy, Tucker, 2018. "The multivariate bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 96-106.
    2. Ilan Lobel & Jigar Patel & Gustavo Vulcano & Jiawei Zhang, 2016. "Optimizing Product Launches in the Presence of Strategic Consumers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1778-1799, June.
    3. Hagspiel, Verena & Huisman, Kuno J.M. & Kort, Peter M. & Lavrutich, Maria N. & Nunes, Cláudia & Pimentel, Rita, 2020. "Technology adoption in a declining market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 380-392.
    4. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    5. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    6. Yossi Aviv, 2003. "A Time-Series Framework for Supply-Chain Inventory Management," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 210-227, April.
    7. Kris Johnson Ferreira & Joel Goh, 2021. "Assortment Rotation and the Value of Concealment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(3), pages 1489-1507, March.
    8. Marshall Fisher & Ramnath Vaidyanathan, 2014. "A Demand Estimation Procedure for Retail Assortment Optimization with Results from Implementations," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 60(10), pages 2401-2415, October.
    9. Kenneth Gilbert, 2005. "An ARIMA Supply Chain Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 305-310, February.
    10. William P. Barnett & John Freeman, 2001. "Too Much of a Good Thing? Product Proliferation and Organizational Failure," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 12(5), pages 539-558, October.
    11. Rachna Shah & George P. Ball & Serguei Netessine, 2017. "Plant Operations and Product Recalls in the Automotive Industry: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(8), pages 2439-2459, August.
    12. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    13. Yanfeng Ouyang & Carlos Daganzo, 2006. "Characterization of the Bullwhip Effect in Linear, Time-Invariant Supply Chains: Some Formulae and Tests," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(10), pages 1544-1556, October.
    14. R.N. Boute & J. Dejonckheere & S.M. Disney & W. Van De Velde, 2012. "Bullwhip in a Multi-Product Production Setting," Review of Business and Economic Literature, Intersentia, vol. 57(3), pages 354-381, September.
    15. Patxi J. Bernales & Yongtao Guan & Harihara Prasad Natarajan & Patricia Souza Gimenez & Mario Xavier Alvarez Tajes, 2017. "Less Is More: Harnessing Product Substitution Information to Rationalize SKUs at Intcomex," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 47(3), pages 230-243, June.
    16. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2009. "Information Sharing and Order Variability Control Under a Generalized Demand Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 781-797, May.
    17. Nikolay Osadchiy & William Schmidt & Jing Wu, 2021. "The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(10), pages 6153-6173, October.
    18. repec:sen:journl:v:57:i:3:y:2012:p:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Li, Xiaopeng, 2010. "The bullwhip effect in supply chain networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 799-810, March.
    20. Hongmin Li & Woonghee Tim Huh, 2011. "Pricing Multiple Products with the Multinomial Logit and Nested Logit Models: Concavity and Implications," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 13(4), pages 549-563, October.
    21. Alexandre Dolgui & Dmitry Ivanov & Maxim Rozhkov, 2020. "Does the ripple effect influence the bullwhip effect? An integrated analysis of structural and operational dynamics in the supply chain," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(5), pages 1285-1301, March.
    22. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    23. Gaalman, Gerard & Disney, Stephen M., 2009. "On bullwhip in a family of order-up-to policies with ARMA(2,2) demand and arbitrary lead-times," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 454-463, October.
    24. Hau L. Lee, 1996. "Effective Inventory and Service Management Through Product and Process Redesign," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 151-159, February.
    25. Gérard P. Cachon & Taylor Randall & Glen M. Schmidt, 2007. "In Search of the Bullwhip Effect," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 457-479, April.
    26. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    27. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    28. Noblesse, Ann M. & Boute, Robert N. & Lambrecht, Marc R. & Van Houdt, Benny, 2014. "Characterizing order processes of continuous review (s,S) and (r,nQ) policies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(2), pages 534-547.
    29. Frank Chen & Zvi Drezner & Jennifer K. Ryan & David Simchi-Levi, 2000. "Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 436-443, March.
    30. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "Addendum to "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process"," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 174-174.
    31. Saurabh Ambulkar & Sridhar Ramaswami & Jennifer Blackhurst & M. Johnny Rungtusanatham, 2022. "Supply chain disruption risk: an unintended consequence of product innovation," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 60(24), pages 7194-7213, December.
    32. repec:sen:rebelj:v:57:i:3:y:2012:p:27 is not listed on IDEAS
    33. H. Sebastian Heese & Victor Martínez-de-Albéniz, 2018. "Effects of Assortment Breadth Announcements on Manufacturer Competition," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 20(2), pages 302-316, May.
    34. Fernando Bernstein & Victor Martínez-de-Albéniz, 2017. "Dynamic Product Rotation in the Presence of Strategic Customers," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(7), pages 2092-2107, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xun & Disney, Stephen M., 2016. "The bullwhip effect: Progress, trends and directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(3), pages 691-701.
    2. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    3. QU, Zhan & RAFF, Horst, 2023. "Two-part tariffs, inventory stockpiling, and the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 201-214.
    4. Li Chen & Wei Luo & Kevin Shang, 2017. "Measuring the Bullwhip Effect: Discrepancy and Alignment Between Information and Material Flows," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 19(1), pages 36-51, February.
    5. Nagaraja, Chaitra H. & McElroy, Tucker, 2018. "The multivariate bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(1), pages 96-106.
    6. Zhang, Xiaolong & Burke, Gerard J., 2011. "Analysis of compound bullwhip effect causes," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 210(3), pages 514-526, May.
    7. Minner, Stefan & Transchel, Sandra, 2017. "Order variability in perishable product supply chains," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(1), pages 93-107.
    8. Ruomeng Cui & Gad Allon & Achal Bassamboo & Jan A. Van Mieghem, 2015. "Information Sharing in Supply Chains: An Empirical and Theoretical Valuation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(11), pages 2803-2824, November.
    9. Ojha, Divesh & Sahin, Funda & Shockley, Jeff & Sridharan, Sri V., 2019. "Is there a performance tradeoff in managing order fulfillment and the bullwhip effect in supply chains? The role of information sharing and information type," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 529-543.
    10. Robert L. Bray & Haim Mendelson, 2012. "Information Transmission and the Bullwhip Effect: An Empirical Investigation," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(5), pages 860-875, May.
    11. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2009. "Information Sharing and Order Variability Control Under a Generalized Demand Model," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 781-797, May.
    12. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
    13. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Li, Xiaopeng, 2010. "The bullwhip effect in supply chain networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 799-810, March.
    14. Dass, Mayukh & Reshadi, Mehrnoosh & Li, Yuewu, 2023. "An exploration of ripple effects of advertising among major suppliers in a supply chain network," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    15. Layth C. Alwan & Christian H. Weiß, 2017. "INAR implementation of newsvendor model for serially dependent demand counts," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(4), pages 1085-1099, February.
    16. Agrawal, Sunil & Sengupta, Raghu Nandan & Shanker, Kripa, 2009. "Impact of information sharing and lead time on bullwhip effect and on-hand inventory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 576-593, January.
    17. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio, 2019. "An empirical investigation on the antecedents of the bullwhip effect: Evidence from the spare parts industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 121-133.
    18. Wang, Zhaodong & Wang, Xin & Ouyang, Yanfeng, 2015. "Bounded growth of the bullwhip effect under a class of nonlinear ordering policies," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 247(1), pages 72-82.
    19. Li Chen & Hau L. Lee, 2012. "Bullwhip Effect Measurement and Its Implications," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 771-784, August.
    20. Ouyang, Yanfeng & Daganzo, Carlos, 2008. "Robust tests for the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 340-353, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:318:y:2024:i:1:p:87-99. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.