IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v246y2015i3p837-849.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Demand information and spot price information: Supply chains trading in spot markets

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao, Xuan
  • Xing, Wei
  • Liu, Liming
  • Wang, Shouyang

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of information updating on the members of a two-stage supply chain in the presence of spot market. The supplier decides the contract price. New information becomes available as time progresses. The manufacturer updates his belief on demand and/or spot price and subsequently decides the contract quantity. The demand and spot price are correlated. Thus, the new demand information also updates the belief on the spot price, and vice versa. We model the problem with an information updating Stackelberg game and derive unique equilibrium strategies. Previous studies have considered only the demand information and concluded that improved demand information always benefits the supplier. By contrast, we demonstrate that improved demand information benefits both the supplier and manufacturer if the correlation coefficient between the two uncertainties has a small positive value and benefits the manufacturer but hurts the supplier otherwise. Moreover, superior spot price information benefits only the manufacturer and always hurts the supplier. Surprisingly, superior information fails to improve the performance of the supply chain and only changes the allocation of the profits between the supplier and manufacturer. Our findings likewise provide insights into when the supplier intends to use the contract channel and which type of information updating facility or expertise to invest in if a choice must be made.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Xuan & Xing, Wei & Liu, Liming & Wang, Shouyang, 2015. "Demand information and spot price information: Supply chains trading in spot markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 246(3), pages 837-849.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:246:y:2015:i:3:p:837-849
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.046
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221715004361
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.046?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wei Zhang & Deke Zhou & Liwen Liu, 2014. "Contracts for Changing Times: Sourcing with Raw Material Price Volatility and Information Asymmetry," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 16(1), pages 133-148, February.
    2. Paul R. Kleindorfer & D. J. Wu, 2003. "Integrating Long- and Short-Term Contracting via Business-to-Business Exchanges for Capital-Intensive Industries," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(11), pages 1597-1615, November.
    3. Yu-Chin Chen & Kenneth S. Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 125(3), pages 1145-1194.
    4. Xing, Wei & Wang, Shouyang & Liu, Liming, 2012. "Optimal ordering and pricing strategies in the presence of a B2B spot market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 87-98.
    5. Terry A. Taylor, 2006. "Sale Timing in a Supply Chain: When to Sell to the Retailer," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 8(1), pages 23-42, November.
    6. Chung-Lun Li & Panos Kouvelis, 1999. "Flexible and Risk-Sharing Supply Contracts Under Price Uncertainty," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(10), pages 1378-1398, October.
    7. Ç Haksöz & S Seshadri, 2007. "Supply chain operations in the presence of a spot market: a review with discussion," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(11), pages 1412-1429, November.
    8. Martin A. Lariviere & Evan L. Porteus, 2001. "Selling to the Newsvendor: An Analysis of Price-Only Contracts," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 3(4), pages 293-305, May.
    9. Hing-Ling Lau, Amy & Lau, Hon-Shiang, 2001. "Some two-echelon style-goods inventory models with asymmetric market information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 29-42, October.
    10. Fu, Qi & Zhu, Kaijie, 2010. "Endogenous information acquisition in supply chain management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 454-462, March.
    11. Soren T. Anderson & Ryan Kellogg & James M. Sallee & Richard T. Curtin, 2011. "Forecasting Gasoline Prices Using Consumer Surveys," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 110-114, May.
    12. Terry A. Taylor & Wenqiang Xiao, 2010. "Does a Manufacturer Benefit from Selling to a Better-Forecasting Retailer?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 56(9), pages 1584-1598, September.
    13. Seifert, Ralf W. & Thonemann, Ulrich W. & Hausman, Warren H., 2004. "Optimal procurement strategies for online spot markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 152(3), pages 781-799, February.
    14. Mehmet Gümüş & Saibal Ray & Haresh Gurnani, 2012. "Supply-Side Story: Risks, Guarantees, Competition, and Information Asymmetry," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 58(9), pages 1694-1714, September.
    15. Lingxiu Dong & Hong Liu, 2007. "Equilibrium Forward Contracts on Nonstorable Commodities in the Presence of Market Power," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(1), pages 128-145, February.
    16. Julia Miyaoka & Warren H. Hausman, 2008. "How Improved Forecasts Can Degrade Decentralized Supply Chains," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 547-562, July.
    17. Onur Boyabatlı & Paul R. Kleindorfer & Stephen R. Koontz, 2011. "Integrating Long-Term and Short-Term Contracting in Beef Supply Chains," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 57(10), pages 1771-1787, October.
    18. Chod, Jiri & Lyandres, Evgeny, 2011. "Strategic IPOs and product market competition," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 45-67, April.
    19. Haim Mendelson & Tunay I. Tunca, 2007. "Strategic Spot Trading in Supply Chains," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(5), pages 742-759, May.
    20. Ozer, Ozalp & Uncu, Onur & Wei, Wei, 2007. "Selling to the "Newsvendor" with a forecast update: Analysis of a dual purchase contract," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(3), pages 1150-1176, November.
    21. Ananth. V. Iyer & Mark E. Bergen, 1997. "Quick Response in Manufacturer-Retailer Channels," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 559-570, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jen-Yi & Dada, Maqbool & Hu, Qiaohai (Joice), 2017. "Flexible procurement contracts for competing retailers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(1), pages 130-142.
    2. Karl Inderfurth & Peter Kelle & Rainer Kleber, 2018. "Inventory control in dual sourcing commodity procurement with price correlation," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 26(1), pages 93-119, March.
    3. Ma, Shanshan & Li, Guo & Sethi, Suresh P. & Zhao, Xuan, 2022. "Advance booking discount strategies: Competition, information transparency and spot market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Xing, Wei & Li, Qiankun & Zhao, Xuan & Li, Jialu, 2020. "Information sale and contract selection under downstream competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Niu, Baozhuang & Chu, Lap-Keung & Ni, Jian & Wang, Junwei, 2018. "Buy now and price later: Supply contracts with time-consistent mean–variance financial hedgingAuthor-Name: Li, Qiang," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(2), pages 582-595.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xing, Wei & Liu, Liming & Wang, Shouyang, 2014. "More than a second channel? Supply chain strategies in B2B spot markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(3), pages 699-710.
    2. Xu, Jinpeng & Feng, Gengzhong & Jiang, Wei & Wang, Shouyang, 2015. "Optimal procurement of long-term contracts in the presence of imperfect spot market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 42-52.
    3. Niu, Baozhuang & Chu, Lap-Keung & Ni, Jian & Wang, Junwei, 2018. "Buy now and price later: Supply contracts with time-consistent mean–variance financial hedgingAuthor-Name: Li, Qiang," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(2), pages 582-595.
    4. Xing, Wei & Li, Qiankun & Zhao, Xuan & Li, Jialu, 2020. "Information sale and contract selection under downstream competition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    5. Xing, Wei & Wang, Shouyang & Liu, Liming, 2012. "Optimal ordering and pricing strategies in the presence of a B2B spot market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 87-98.
    6. Fan, Mengli & Xing, Wei & Huang, Yi, 2023. "Joint forward contract negotiation: The role of B2B procurement platforms," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    7. Ozer, Ozalp & Uncu, Onur & Wei, Wei, 2007. "Selling to the "Newsvendor" with a forecast update: Analysis of a dual purchase contract," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(3), pages 1150-1176, November.
    8. Nicola Secomandi & Sunder Kekre, 2014. "Optimal Energy Procurement in Spot and Forward Markets," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 16(2), pages 270-282, May.
    9. Ma, Shanshan & Li, Guo & Sethi, Suresh P. & Zhao, Xuan, 2022. "Advance booking discount strategies: Competition, information transparency and spot market," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Jiao Wang & Lima Zhao & Arnd Huchzermeier, 2021. "Operations‐Finance Interface in Risk Management: Research Evolution and Opportunities," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(2), pages 355-389, February.
    11. Panos Kouvelis & Wenhui Zhao, 2012. "Financing the Newsvendor: Supplier vs. Bank, and the Structure of Optimal Trade Credit Contracts," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(3), pages 566-580, June.
    12. Youhua (Frank) Chen & Weili Xue & Jian Yang, 2013. "Technical Note---Optimal Inventory Policy in the Presence of a Long-Term Supplier and a Spot Market," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 88-97, February.
    13. Bolandifar, Ehsan & Chen, Zhong, 2020. "Hedging through index-based price contracts in commodity-based supply chains," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    14. Pamela Pen-Erh Pei & David Simchi-Levi & Tunay I. Tunca, 2011. "Sourcing Flexibility, Spot Trading, and Procurement Contract Structure," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(3), pages 578-601, June.
    15. Gan, Xianghua & Sethi, Suresh P. & Xu, Liang, 2019. "Simultaneous Optimization of Contingent and Advance Purchase Orders with Fixed Ordering Costs," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 227-241.
    16. Güllü, Refik & Erkip, Nesim, 2024. "Risk pooling under demand and price uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(1), pages 120-129.
    17. Alessio Trivella & Danial Mohseni-Taheri & Selvaprabu Nadarajah, 2023. "Meeting Corporate Renewable Power Targets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(1), pages 491-512, January.
    18. Jain, Tarun & Hazra, Jishnu, 2017. "Dual sourcing under suppliers' capacity investments," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 183(PA), pages 103-115.
    19. Xiaofeng Nie & Tamer Boyacı & Mehmet Gümüş & Saibal Ray & Dan Zhang, 2017. "Joint procurement and demand-side bidding strategies under price volatility," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 257(1), pages 121-165, October.
    20. Edward Anderson & Bo Chen & Lusheng Shao, 2017. "Supplier Competition with Option Contracts for Discrete Blocks of Capacity," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(4), pages 952-967, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:246:y:2015:i:3:p:837-849. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.