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Nonparametric predictive utility inference

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  • Houlding, B.
  • Coolen, F.P.A.

Abstract

We consider the natural combination of two strands of recent statistical research, i.e., that of decision making with uncertain utility and that of Nonparametric Predictive Inference (NPI). In doing so we present the idea of Nonparametric Predictive Utility Inference (NPUI), which is suggested as a possible strategy for the problem of utility induction in cases of extremely vague prior information. An example of the use of NPUI within a motivating sequential decision problem is also considered for two extreme selection criteria, i.e., a rule that is based on an attitude of extreme pessimism and a rule that is based on an attitude of extreme optimism.

Suggested Citation

  • Houlding, B. & Coolen, F.P.A., 2012. "Nonparametric predictive utility inference," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 222-230.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:221:y:2012:i:1:p:222-230
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2012.03.024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Klibanoff & Massimo Marinacci & Sujoy Mukerji, 2005. "A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 73(6), pages 1849-1892, November.
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    4. Coolen, F. P. A., 1996. "Comparing two populations based on low stochastic structure assumptions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 297-305, September.
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    6. P Coolen-Schrijner & F P A Coolen & S C Shaw, 2006. "Nonparametric adaptive opportunity-based age replacement strategies," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 57(1), pages 63-81, January.
    7. Ghirardato, Paolo & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo, 2004. "Differentiating ambiguity and ambiguity attitude," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 118(2), pages 133-173, October.
    8. Abellán, Joaquín & Baker, Rebecca M. & Coolen, Frank P.A., 2011. "Maximising entropy on the nonparametric predictive inference model for multinomial data," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 212(1), pages 112-122, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Frank PA Coolen & Tahani Coolen-Maturi & Abdullah H Al-nefaiee, 2014. "Nonparametric predictive inference for system reliability using the survival signature," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 228(5), pages 437-448, October.
    2. Brett Houlding & Frank P. A. Coolen & Donnacha Bolger, 2015. "A Conjugate Class of Utility Functions for Sequential Decision Problems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(9), pages 1611-1622, September.
    3. Frank PA Coolen, 2013. "Maximum group sizes for simultaneous testing in high potential risk scenarios," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 227(6), pages 569-575, December.
    4. Aboalkhair, Ahmad M. & Coolen, Frank P.A. & MacPhee, Iain M., 2013. "Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 226(1), pages 77-84.
    5. Donnacha Bolger & Brett Houlding, 2016. "Reliability updating in linear opinion pooling for multiple decision makers," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(3), pages 309-322, June.
    6. Liu, Hui-hui & Song, Yao-yao & Yang, Guo-liang, 2019. "Cross-efficiency evaluation in data envelopment analysis based on prospect theory," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 273(1), pages 364-375.

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