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Does Mining Fuel Bubbles? An Experimental Study on Cryptocurrency Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Marco Lambrecht

    (Hanken School of Economics & Helsinki GSE, 00100 Helsinki, Finland)

  • Andis Sofianos

    (Durham University, Durham DH1 3LE, United Kingdom)

  • Yilong Xu

    (Utrecht University School of Economics, Utrecht University, 3584 EC Utrecht, Netherlands)

Abstract

We investigate how key features associated with the Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism of Bitcoin (commonly referred to as mining) affect pricing. In a controlled laboratory experiment, we observe that price bubble formation can be attributed to mining. Moreover, overpricing is more pronounced if the mining capacity is centralized to a small group of individuals. The order book data reveal that miners seem to play a crucial role in bubble formation. Further probing the mechanism in a second study, we find that both mining costs and decisions jointly with the sluggish rate of supply of the asset contribute to the bubble formation. Our results demonstrate that erratic pricing is an inherent feature of cryptocurrencies based on a mining protocol, thus seriously limiting any prospects for such assets becoming a medium of exchange.

Suggested Citation

  • Marco Lambrecht & Andis Sofianos & Yilong Xu, 2025. "Does Mining Fuel Bubbles? An Experimental Study on Cryptocurrency Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(3), pages 1865-1888, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:71:y:2025:i:3:p:1865-1888
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.01238
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